NL25 AKs - TPTK in 3b pot - jam river?
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
HERO ($28.77)
SB ($28.66) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 8]
BB ($39.42) [VPIP: 28.6% | PFR: 28.6% | AGG: 66.7% | Flop Agg: 100% | Turn Agg: 100% | River Agg: 0% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 7]
UTG ($25) [VPIP: 6.3% | PFR: 6.3% | AGG: 100% | Hands: 16]
HJ ($41.29) [VPIP: 42.9% | PFR: 28.6% | AGG: 33.3% | Hands: 14]
CO ($91.48) [VPIP: 28.6% | PFR: 23.8% | AGG: 28.6% | Hands: 21]
Dealt to Hero: A♥ K♥
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Raises To $0.50, HERO Raises To $1.80, SB Folds, BB Raises To $5.60, CO Folds, HERO Calls $3.80
Hero SPR on Flop: [1.96 effective]
Flop ($11.80): 3♦ A♠ 8♦
BB Bets $2.95 (Rem. Stack: $30.87), HERO Calls $2.95 (Rem. Stack: $20.22)
Turn ($17.70): 3♦ A♠ 8♦ Q♥
BB Bets $5.40 (Rem. Stack: $25.47), HERO Calls $5.40 (Rem. Stack: $14.82)
River ($28.50): 3♦ A♠ 8♦ Q♥ 6♠
BB Checks, HERO ? ? ?
Cold 4b always looks scary, I could have jammed this, but since popular hands to do that are AQ and KQ, I thought it might be good to flat, cause I have them dominated.
Turn: of course a Q as usual, I lose against AA/QQ/AQ, split with AK and beat KQ/AJ.
River: complete blank, FD has missed - any point in jamming here for 60 bb? Can we hope to get called by worse? If he slowplays AA here and jams QQ, then this is how it looks like:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 37.50% 18.75% 18.75% AhKh
MP3 62.50% 43.75% 18.75% AA, AQs+, KQs, AQo+
I would have called the shove, but I am just not sure we will get called by worse often enough to justify the jam.
2 Replies
Calling a 28bb 4bet preflop with this hand seems like a bad idea, your hand wants to see 5 cards vs all their pocket pairs, you hate Q's and on low boards they can bluff you. And anyway there is so much dead money in the pot... I would sometimes fold if I don't give credit to my opponent for being able to cold 4bet wide enough, but calling seems really unnecessary.
I find it very unlikely they check AQ on the river. You forgot to add AK to their range, maybe like you they hate the Q and chicken out. I would not surprise to see both of you checking AK on the river lol
Calling a 28bb 4bet preflop with this hand seems like a bad idea, your hand wants to see 5 cards vs all their pocket pairs, you hate Q's and on low boards they can bluff you. And anyway there is so much dead money in the pot...
This is a valid point. Against a cold 4-bet, if I am the 3-bettor, then it's okay to jam.
Though if I have just invested 2.5bb, then there is a 3-bet to 8 bb and then cold 4b to say 22 bb = I think only KK+/AK should jam, we can then try to flat QQ or trap AA sometimes. It's not a common spot, but tricky enough.
I will let others to provide their thoughts before I will reveal the results.