AA facing donk pot
20plo - clubgg - min vpip 35%
Flop is a fold ?
Hero (CO): 265.05 BB
BTN: 207.65 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 2.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 56)
SB: 99 BB (VPIP: 60.56, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 2.17, Hands: 235)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 46.81, PFR: 9.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 185)
UTG: 272.55 BB (VPIP: 68.00, PFR: 30.00, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 64)
UTG+1: 140.05 BB (VPIP: 76.00, PFR: 28.00, 3Bet Preflop: 23.53, Hands: 32)
MP: 146.85 BB (VPIP: 54.05, PFR: 10.81, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 47)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ A♥ K♦ 5♣
UTG raises to 3.5 BB, UTG+1 calls 3.5 BB, MP calls 3.5 BB, Hero raises to 19 BB, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 15.5 BB, fold, MP calls 15.5 BB
Flop: (62 BB, 3 players) 9♦ 8♣ 9♥
UTG checks, MP bets 62 BB
Hero??
6 Replies
His stats don’t scream maniac and QJT9ds is certainly a hand it seems he would play this way. Rainbow flop so he’s not getting frisky with an oesfd. And UTG could be laying in the weeds to set you all in with like QQ88.
I think you should fold it 3-way, yes. Of course he sometimes has QJT and UTG whiffed. With a 9 it's a pretty horrid line from villain (thus he isn't even representing it that well), thus he gets a donk label from me.
Pot 62bb on flop, V has 127bb (119 less than H) which is effective. He probably wouldn’t mind either winning it right now or gii now either 2 or 3 way. The worst hand he has here is T876.
Pot 62bb on flop, V has 127bb (119 less than H) which is effective. He probably wouldn't mind either winning it right now or gii now either 2 or 3 way.
Absolutely horrible way to think about poker, probably straight from a book from 20 years ago. You should not be happy to "take it down because it's big" but to maximize your EV in every spot.
Yeh I think we have to fold - the bottom of his range is probably like T7/JT
