Multiday Tournament Spot - just ITM
I apologize for what seems like a very stupid question, but here goes.
Day 2. We're ITM. 181 players left, currently min-cash. Avg stack is about 240, 000 and I'm sitting with 184, 000. Blind 8, 000k BB ante, 8K BB, 4k SB.
7th hand of the day goes as follows:
Villain 1 (UTG +2) has +/- 600k. Limps for 8k.
Me (button) AdKd. Raise to 22k.
Villain 2 (SB) has 150k. He flats.
Villain 1 jams.
I call.
Villain 2 folds.
Villain 1 holds with TT.
Am I a donk for flipping here this early or is this just a standard spot? Am I ever folding here? Admittedly, if I win the hand I don't even ask this question which makes me feel even dumber.
Yes, this is a serious question. Feel free to call me an idiot for even asking. But I'm genuinely curious if this is ever a fold.
6 Replies
No, AKs with some dead money in the pot, 23 BB stack, and no ICM issues such as stone bubble or FT with a microstack at the table, is never a fold barring a dead-lock extreme nit read on a player who can only have AA.
TY.
Not that it matters but after a limper I would raise to 28k with 23 bb's. They would still jam. And I would still call. Also if I were taking into account that Villain has 19 bb's I might just jam rather than raise to 28k. In these spots I don't mind just taking it down and there is a chance Villain might fold because at best they are flipping.
Also even though you lost, just note it was a +EV spot because the call is 128k to win 184k and you have a 48% chance. The only Villain hands where you have worse odds are AA or KK and you block both of those.
It is painful to get knocked out like this but on the bright side when you win these you have a decent chance of going deep. When I make it to a final table its because I win these flips (usually 2 or 3 of these flip all ins at some point in the tournament).
TY. That was the goal - win a flip, get to roughly 400k and then I'd be in business. I couldn't envision a scenario here where I fold, but wanted to see if I was missing something.
Yeah you've got to win some flips to win tournaments. Sometimes you can take a lower variance line to avoid a flip, for example flatting instead of raising in a spot where the EV is similar. There's nothing you could have done here though.
TY
