NL25 TT - gutshot OOP in 3-bet pot
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
BTN ($26.73) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 11]
HERO ($25)
BB ($20.57) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 1]
UTG ($26.33) [VPIP: 20% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 5]
HJ ($53.99) [VPIP: 40% | PFR: 40% | AGG: 75% | Flop Agg: 50% | Turn Agg: 100% | River Agg: 100% | 3Bet: 0% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 5]
CO ($38.51) [VPIP: 40% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 0% | Hands: 5]
Dealt to Hero: T♣ T♠
UTG Folds, HJ Raises To $0.50, CO Folds, BTN Folds, HERO Raises To $2.50, BB Folds, HJ Calls $2
Hero SPR on Flop: [4.29 effective]
Flop ($5.25): 7♠ Q♥ J♦
HERO Checks, HJ Checks
Turn ($5.25): 8♠
HERO Checks, HJ Bets $2 (Rem. Stack: $49.49), HERO Calls $2 (Rem. Stack: $20.50)
River ($9.25): 4♠
HERO Checks, HJ Bets $2.22 (Rem. Stack: $47.27), HERO ? ? ?
Preflop: standard 3-bet.
Flop: board is okay for my range, but so it is for Villain's range too. Unfortunately, I am blocking Tx combos that are the primary semibluff candidates here, there are other suited connectors, smaller pairs and Ax. Hence I decided to check, most likely with the intention to x/f. Villain checks, so he probably has some SDV or maybe suited connectors that want to see another card.
Turn: turned a gutshot, he bets rather small. I estimate his range to be like this, around 51 combos (I gave him half of AQ/KQ combos)
Equity Win Tie
MP2 51.35% 50.72% 0.63% TsTc
MP3 48.65% 48.03% 0.63% 99, AJs-ATs, KJs-KTs, QTs, J9s+, T9s, 98s, 87s, 65s, AsKs, KcQc, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc
River: completes 65s and backdoor flush. I only block one spade and nut str8 combo, but nut sure if that's relevant, cause straights aren't happy to go all-in here. Odds are good, but it seems like a "call me plz" type of bet. Is there any merit in raising here?
4 Replies
Preflop 3bet is not mandatory, facing a min open you could also mix 3bet/call (calling the vast majority of the time) or if you play 3bet only from SB then TT is a frequent fold in fact. Anyway, not super important.
The way you played the hand it looks like you have AK, they might value bet an 8 or try to bluff for cheap. The price is very good, we really don't need to be correct very often, I would just call.
You are right, I think I overplayed TT a bit here, even JJ and QQ are mostly a flat call here.
Yeah, after showing weakness, he could have turned 99 or 8x into a bluff, thinking that I might have Jx. Might also want to throw me off AK.
hell I'm 3betting QQ, JJ, TT all day 😉
I cbet. Good board. Blocking calls. Lower PPs really benefit from equity denying range bets
I just don't think he has any bluffs otr. And I doubt 99 go thin very often. But yeah tis pocket change so whatever
EDIT: actually don't hate the double barrel either
Was gnawing at me so checked gtow. Kind of skewed because micro HJ range will have more Jx, Tx and AK. Player dependent more PPs too. Essentially, a much wider flop/turn fodling range. I would also play the turn a bit differently to gto, full checking sets and a hand like KK because it unblocks AQ that will always bet and stack off.
EV way closer than i thought tho, but still close enough to a range bet imo. I'm not 3betting low SCs or A4/A3s very often plus wider hj range
I'd imagine if you plugged in a bigger turn fold range GSs with flush blockers that can't x/c would make fine DB give-ups
AP, our combo indifferent and solver pulls wtf face to silly milky bets
