Sunday Rapidfire
1)
8max satellite. villain 40bb stack opens mid 2.5bb, hero 30bb eff otb with a4cc, early in tourny. raise, call or fold? if mixed, what %s?
2)
bubble, top 3 get seat.
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jam?
i will spoil, i folded here, it was folded to bb and with his new stack he pushed me lower in chips. two 'folded to bb' hands later and i lost my short jam utg. after review, this was the only opportunity to make a play / change the outcome. results oriented yes but also want to know what others do in this spot and what the general consensus is.
3)
PokerStars, $18.20 + $1.80 - Hold'em No Limit - 625/1,250 (150 ante) - 8 players
Replay this hand on Pokeit
UTG (Hero): 107,596 (86 bb)
UTG+1: 59,312 (47 bb)
MP: 22,150 (18 bb)
MP+1: 19,939 (16 bb)
CO: 53,688 (43 bb)
BU: 31,400 (25 bb)
SB: 30,810 (25 bb)
BB: 26,305 (21 bb)
Pre-Flop: (3,075) Hero is UTG with 7♠ 7♦
Hero raises to 3,750, 4 players fold, BTN 3-bets to 6,250, 2 players fold, Hero calls 2,500
Flop: (15,575) 3♦ J♦ 4♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 15,575, UTG (Hero) ?
thanks,
4 Replies
Hand 1, I think all three options are fine. Villain shouldn't be raising that large, which is why I might consider mixing in folds, but I think it's mostly a call. 3-bet really only if you think villain will raise/fold this size regularly, or the size indicates a weaker hand.
Hand 2, yeah, probably a shove. SB should call almost never given this setup and you have a pretty strong hand.
Hand 3, first, don't open 3x basically ever. Past that... I think I just fold the flop. I don't necessarily give minreraisers a lot of credit and I see them do it with a lot of goofy ****. But once they pot the flop like this it's almost always strong, and while you have the kind of hand that could be good on one end or the other (the pair now or the diamond later), you're basically playing for stacks at this point, and I don't like your chances against the range he's committing his stack with.
I don't play satties, but 3 is a snap fold imo, at these stakes this is either a scared one pair plus hand or a semibluff with the Ad, and you're not in great shape against either.
Hand 1: Large effective stack (>100 bb's) I will always 3-bet here. But shortish stacks it will completely depend on the way Villain has been playing. The first thing to note in this hand is that Villain has raised to 2.5x which is a bigger raise size than most players with 40 bb's. So it could lean towards hands like JJ/AK with no other reads. If Villain has raised before for smaller amounts than I would never 3-bet with A4s and I might just fold. However if Villain has been raising wide and always at this sizing then I like a 3-bet.
A couple of days ago in Day 2 of the $400 Borgota tournament with a $1,000,000 guarantee I had dwindled to about 18 blinds and a guy who had raised a few times in late position and had a largish stack min raised (as he had been doing). So I jammed in the BB with A4s and it worked because he folded.
Hand 2: I like a shove here. Though if Villain in BB has an A they are always calling. Villain will call with any PP as well but we are close to 50% against about half of them and if Villain has 99+ then so be it. But we are ahead of most hands Villain has. If we get Villain to fold a baddish hand then we move to 2nd largest stack which leaves the guy on our left in a bit of a bind. And as Nath pointed out SB won't be calling with anything except AA and probably KK (though it gets interesting).
Hand 3: I do 3x open raise with over 125 bb's (and sometimes even at 100 bb's). But for me at 86 bb's it would be a 2.5x raise preflop. Given the min raise 3-bet we are basically going set mining. Villain's stack is really small so missing the set I would fold on the flop. The other thing to note is that Villain has bet 60% of effective stack so they are always all in regardless of the runout. Which makes it likely that even if they don't have a pair they do have a diamond bigger than a 7 which means we are likely flipping at 50% or trailing by a lot.
I don't play online and live people rarely click it back on 3-bets. But if I was playing against somebody who clicks it back with a wide range of hands I would consider jamming preflop. Here it looks like they really want you to call so they can get it in later. A normal 3-bet size for me here would be about 11,000 which would be over 33% effective stack so I would basically be 3-bet jamming with everything. Some people though like to minraise with AA and jam with everything else...
