NCAA Football 2025
NCAA Football 2025
8
zs

NCAA Football 2025

Not sure who will win this year, hopefully Arch goes nuts and UT can kick the door in after making the quarterfinals the

01 August 2025 at 08:52 PM
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3451 Replies

8
zs


Can they show me the murderer's reaction now?


Turnover. One time!


Now all we need is a critical Crystobal decision. My guess is...a fake punt!


congrats ole misses


Ive mentioned Beck’s tatts before but they really are that tilting.

Maybe dumbest facemask ever?


Damn! What a grab--but OOB.

or maybe not.

whew!


Such a disappointing ending to a good game.


Wow Miami's really playing ultimate prevent out there


Refs


The **** told everyone 6 seconds means time for 1 play?


Never should have been that close. But a W is still a W.

I know IU is solid, but hard for me to imagine them being favored outside of multiple key Miami D injuries.


by PokerHero77 m

Never should have been that close. But a W is still a W.

I know IU is solid, but hard for me to imagine them being favored outside of multiple key Miami D injuries.

Indiana was a 5.5-point favorite over Miami in the lookahead line


by PokerHero77 m

Never should have been that close. But a W is still a W.

I know IU is solid, but hard for me to imagine them being favored outside of multiple key Miami D injuries.

Bet Miami money line which will be +170 or something and profit


Well, 5.5 is not 7.5 but count me in for that.

I don't bet CFB much but +170 seems way out of line also, outside of key D injuries I noted above.

Look ahead matchup lines are notoriously poor, just for the lack of liquidity (i.e. low limits).

I would price HFA about a point, factoring there might be more IU fans.


by PokerHero77 m

Well, 5.5 is not 7.5 but count me in for that.

I don't bet CFB much but +170 seems way out of line also, outside of key D injuries I noted above.

Look ahead matchup lines are notoriously poor, just for the lack of liquidity (i.e. low limits).

I would price HFA about a point, factoring there might be more IU fans.

Well I have a Miami 125-1 ticket, so the lower the better. But it would take a Mendoza injury (and possibly two Mendoza injuries) for Miami to be the favorite.


Rooting for you, I'll take the points, fine with that.


Thanks. You can still get +178 on Kalshi to title, which factors in the 40% chance it's Oregon.


Yeah, 36c actually +177.

Notice IU chp odds did not change after MI win? IU 45c but need to get past ORE. If they do I got IU .45/.62 = .72 against MI. So I expect IU to drop to 42c between now and tomorrow (or ORE odds to drop).

ORE 23c to win chp, implied win chance .23/.38 = .34 against MI.

So market is saying MI is -194 against ORE, but +257 against IU? Makes no sense to me. I guess ORE playing in Fla is a point or so, but the market is seriously overpricing IU chp chances IMO.


OK 23/38 = .6, so MI would be +150 implied against ORE, +257 implied against IU.

Fat fingered phone calculator, twice.

So point spread ORE -3, IU -7.

I'll wait for the +7.


by Holliday m

Thanks. You can still get +178 on Kalshi to title, which factors in the 40% chance it's Oregon.

So, do you hedge now 45c IU and 23c ORE, or wait until chp game?

If you do it now it gives you some leverage during the game tomorrow if you want to buy out.


Max unit bet against Miami vs either opponent, what a gift


Hit it ... bought Ole Miss up to +4.5, then at halftime not liking it so taking Miami to win. Great game, great 4th quarter anyway.


Miami +188 v Indy on FD, seems pretty high if they get their D-guys back.


by skiier04 m

Max unit bet against Miami vs either opponent, what a gift

How much did you bet?


If Indiana wins out, their record will be 16-0.

Name the last college football team to go 16-0.

Spoiler
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Yale in 1894

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