5-Card PLO – 1/2. Top Set on Connected Board
Game: $1/$2 5-card PLO
Stacks: ~$500 effective
Hero: Button
Preflop
Hero is on the BTN with A♠ A♦ 6♣ 6♥ 2♦
• Folds to Hero → raises to $10
• SB calls
• BB calls (villain)
Pot: ~$30 (3 ways)
⸻
Flop ($30)
Board: 7♣ 9♦ J♠
• SB checks
• BB bets $25
• Hero calls on BTN with overpair + backdoor potential
• SB calls
Pot: ~$100 (3 ways)
Board: 7♣ 9♦ J♠ A♥
We have top set now.
• SB checks
• BB bets $100
Line check: What are you doing here?
Are you just calling with SB left to act and a possible straight out there? Or are you raising to $200 or $300 to deny equity to straight draws and commit hands like sets and two pair?
If we raise to something like $300, it would put BB into a spot where they have $200 to call to see what would be $700. He would need about 28% equity to call and could continue with a much weaker range. We still have SB left to act though.
The reality is we don’t have the nuts here but the only hand that beats us is 10/8. There are more potential hands that continue than have us beat and we still have boat outs if villain has 10/8.
4 Replies
Fold flop and it's not very close imo.
Call turn. Let him keep saying he has the straight.
Calling the first bet in position speculatively with sb left to act to give even better odds is at least part of the conversation. I don’t think we can rule it out completely without a second thought.
If the turn bricks or board pairs and it goes check after we call the flop, betting the turn for value might even be an option as far as what our plan is for a flop call.
Calling the flop is a huge punt. Turn j don’t mind calling and keeping both players in with dominated hands while pot controlling when beat.
Calling the first bet in position speculatively with sb left to act to give even better odds is at least part of the conversation. I don’t think we can rule it out completely without a second thought.
If the turn bricks or board pairs and it goes check after we call the flop, betting the turn for value might even be an option as far as what our plan is for a flop call.
Are you just calling with SB left to act and a possible straight out there? Or are you raising to $200 or $300 to deny equity to straight draws and commit hands like sets and two pair?
If we raise to something like $300, it would put BB into a spot where they have $200 to call to see what would be $700. He would need about 28% equity to call and could continue with a much weaker range. We still have SB left to act though.
The reality is we don’t have the nuts here but the only hand that beats us is 10/8. There are more potential hands that continue than have us beat and we still have boat outs if villain has 10/8.
Lotta FPS here IMO, something I’m sadly all too familiar with. You might consider ways to reduce your variance though.
