Holdem: 2/5, 450 effective.
LP opens to $20, Hero in CO 3-bets to $75 with A♣K♣, BTN calls, LP folds.
Pot: ~$185
⸻
Flop: A♦ 5♠ 10♣
Hero bets $50, BTN raises to $175.
Hero calls.
Pot: ~$535
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Turn: 9♣
(Board: A♦ 5♠ 10♣ 9♣)
Hero checks.
⸻
Decision: check or bet.
6 Replies
Any reads? I’m good with the call against a raise by an unknown with tptk on the flop, but I proceed cautiously.
You only have 175 behind on the turn, right? Check/call. V is probably ahead, but we picked up some equity.
No reads? If we call flop we're just checking the turn to call it off, but reads will matter so much here. Maybe opponent only raises flop with 2 pr+, maybe he's trying to see where his Ace is at, maybe he's a maniac and will raise with a gutter,etc. Changes the play dramatically
Probably shove over villain’s flop raise, not many hands have us in bad shape.
As played:
Bet small again on the turn maybe 100.
Don’t let villain jockey around on the flop and get a FreeCard on the turn. If he raises again on the turn, I begin to take him seriously.
If I figured right, you have put 250 in the pot with 200 remaining. Unless you find very strong evidence that you’re beat, you’re committed.
It gets real on the turn.
When you bet small on the turn, he could fold - thinking o well, the flop bluff didn’t work, so give up. If he calls, you’re very likely ahead. I can’t be the only one trying to fold people on the flop - you likely can’t call without that ace.
This is generic advice, because reads are vital and you gave no info. If villain is a super-nit, I could fold to the flop raise; if v is an aggro nut, I could let him bet for me and call down; weak passive taking this line could be a set, etc.
PRE - seems fine. I like the big 3B size. Weird that BTN is cold-calling. Any read on him? Assume he's a fish?
FLOP - c-betting the ace-high board as the pre-flop 3B'er seems fine. Size seems a little small, but whatever.
Again, it's weird that he's raising. He's not repping much. Just aces up and sets. Hard to credit him for having much aces up. Assuming he's only playing suited combos, it's just AThh and A5hh. I'd have to think he's playing offsuit combos to make me worried.
Sure, he could have TT or 55, but it's three combos of each, and on such a dry board, with a relatively low SPR, I'd think he might just flat call IP and look to bet or raise turn.
I wonder if our small c-bet size looks weak, and induced him to raise as a bluff, or with worse AX, just trying to see where he's at. That smallish raise size doesn't necessarily scream strength.
When we only start with $450, and only have $325 left, I think we could just get it in here, but I don't hate flatting to give him more rope. Jamming makes it easier for him to get away from a worse hand.
TURN - checking seems fine. Hope he bets. Totally prepared to get stacks in if he does, now that we picked up additional equity.
Also wouldn't hate a donk jam. Hard to think he's folding many hands that raised flop.
bigger flop. you are targeting Ax and nothing else so bet at at least 2/3 to GII by the river. i see no point downbetting.
as played i just jam flop and go with it.
now that we are here, why on earth would you donk turn? im guessing villain checked behind and you think you screwed up?
Reviewing the hh, I agree with nitty. SPR on the flop is 2.2, so just jam. I take back what I wrote earlier.