2024 Fantasy Football Thread
Welcome to the 2024 fantasy season, where I'm officially addicted to best ball. I've been drafting since the end of Jan
Haha I think Jakobi is a great pick. I’ve always thought he was pretty talented and he was their wr1 last year. I conversely don’t have a lot of btjr, but that’s partially bc he’s one of my highest owned dynasty players and I’m hedging the pain a bit haha
I just don’t think Parker Washington is good and his price is absurd imo
I guess I’m the idiot here since I have a ton of BTJ lol.
Btj is a completely fine pick, like I said I just have a ton in dynasty and don’t want double pain if he fails haha
Jakobi's first game with the Jags was week 10 against Hou. Post-trade, including the playoff game:
Jakobi - 65 targets, 43 receptions, 495 yards, 3 TDs
Parker - 63 targets, 40 receptions, 657 yards, 4 TDs
Looks pretty even other than yard production, then you dig deeper. Parker got injured in week 13 and played 38% of the snaps, missed week 14, and played 45% of the snaps in week 15. Coincidentally, Parker's injury mostly overlaps with Jakobi's best stretch.
.5 PPR points over the same stretch.
Jakobi:
5.6
8.9
13
18.3 - Parker injured
12.8
9.6
6.6
3.9
6.9 - Week 18
1.7 - Playoff
Total: 87.3
Parker:
16.4
3
15.6
3.10 - Injured
0 - Missed game
6.8
23.5
15
16.2 - Week 18
20.40 - Playoff
Total: 120
Parker had 5 top 15 weekly finishes, which includes week 18 but does not include the playoff game. Jakobi had 1.
Parker had a second half of the season year 3 breakout. Jakobi will be 30 in November.
This is one of those things where I can’t argue with your logic, but in my gut Parker Washington has so many ways he gets played off the field
- Jags run more 2 wr sets with the 3 TEs they drafted and Parker becomes last couple yrs Jayden reed basically (although reed is more talented imo)
- Btj and/or Hunter come back this year healthy and take a large role
- He just comes back to earth at his performance
I’m almost treating him like a 7th rd RB that had a breakout and then the team was like meh, you’re not actually that good
This can obviously be wrong and I may be over indexed on my priors of Parker Washington but I just can’t click him
He also goes 20-30 picks ahead of jakobi now. You have convinced me to maybe cool off a bit on jakobi though
A Tale of Two QB Rooms
Spoiler
Spoiler
Jennings to vikes… gross (as a large Addison share haver)
I still think it's bad for everyone except Kyler.
I think that how it affects Jefferson is more about how I expect Kyler to play and distribute targets than anything to do with Jefferson or his ability to win his route. But maybe that's just me having bias against Kyler as a passer.
Is this guy really a Best Ball expert? Was going to give his rankings a shot later on.
I've never heard of him. A huge problem with best ball rankings and overall player discussion/strategy in general is that too many people still treat it like they're playing a managed redraft league.
No idea if John fits that stereotype, but I'm very careful whose opinion I give weight to these days.
Agreed, I just use ETR rankings as a guide but mostly draft using ADP and then adjusting up and down
Agreed, I just use ETR rankings as a guide but mostly draft using ADP and then adjusting up and down
Same. I'll sort by ADP and look for value, and maybe use ranks as a tie breaker if I'm torn.
Once I get to around the 150-160 range that's when I'll switch to rank.
I did 4 teams with this guy's rankings as a guide and the teams came out okay. Got me some exposure to guys I normally don't take.
Pretty sweet structure. Little over 4% expectation to make the finals.
$25 for advacing to week 15, $50 for making week 16, $75 for making the finals. Top 10 all cash for $1k+.
Pulls up Henry
Pulls up Lamar
Takes Jamo over Flowers
Spoiler
I don't know if stacking is less important in these smaller finals, but I would've liked to have seen at least one of your QBs stacked.
I'm probably making Bryce a RB.
I think Fannin almost forgot sure needed to be an rb instead
Yeah would like to see some stacks too
Agreed on Fannin, and really McBride too. I think RB/TE should have been played differently for this contest. Elite TE isn’t necessary with this structure. I’d rather hit RB/WR early, then fill in QB and TE later.
I don’t think stacking is as important, but between the price, multiple expensive weapons, and the way Dak/Caleb are likely to log strong scores, I think Dak/Caleb are probably two of the QBs I’d least want unstacked.
Thanks for the feedback team!
Still pretty new to this I was under the impression stacking is better for the weekly winners or top 2 advance contents
Figured in this frenchie contest where 6/12 advance round 1 I can take some unorthodox long shoots and sacrifice rb and still make it through to second round
Good points on getting a solid RB instead of fannin I was on the fence there could have got a decent rb instead same for Bryce pick
This was the first quick draft I did rest have been slow 8
Hours my personal preference
Advancing the 6/12 is definitely a consideration, and stacking is less important from that angle. But it's more about what happens in weeks 15-17.
One of my problems with your RB room is that if you do advance, it's hard to see any of your RBs in a position where anyone projects as a top 12-18 back. I just don't see much upside overall. While you'll be up against teams with elite RBs who also have elite WRs, good QBs, and productive TEs.
As far as stacking, the better the advance structure and the smaller the final, the less important it is. But your path to winning even a 46 seat final with that team is made thinner without any stacking. Dak/Caleb would need to rush for TDs and/or throw TDs to guys like Flourney, Kmet, Turpin, Kalif Raymond, etc.
Joe Burrow is another one. I really hate taking him without one of Chase or Tee, because the path to winning is so much tougher when you need Burrow to perform but also fade teams with Chase/Tee.
Whereas someone like Jayden, who obviously has the rushing ceiling too, only has one skill player in the top 100 of ADP in Terry. It's pretty easy to see how Jayden helps you get there while low owned or no owned guys are catching the ball and scoring fantasy points.
Also, this is a pretty cool tool.
Some guy built this for free. I found out about it because he claims the current Fantasy Flock overlay ripped him off lol. You can find that story if you want to look it up.
Anyways, the tool is designed to help show you the optimal build, as you make each pick in the draft. It's based off of historical BBM data.
https://bestballdraftassistant.com/
You don't even need to search the player name. You can simply click on the position as you makes the pick and the recommended builds adjust.
Though, as I click through it, the next pick recommendation doesn't seem right. I think focusing on the build target is more important. I'll have to play around with it.
