Does anyone play in cashville casino in Rixos hotel of Burabay, Northern Astana？
Yeah, I don't think he's nutted. I think he has a strong vulnerable hand. I think you ranged him pretty well. Most likely top two, with a bit of 55, AdQd, and a couple of silly Q5 or J5 combos. Basically no bare draws take this line, imo.As for the speech, it's a show of comfort to speak at all. While sometimes it's intentional throwing of false tells, I lean strength until
I said "nutted" meaning QJ / 55 mostly. Hands that have KK in rough shape. At best, I think we're slightly ahead of AQdd, or trying to figure out the math on making a better 2P by the river if he's screwing around with Q5 or J5.
I definitely didn't put QQ into his range, but as I was thinking he might occasionally show up with JJ. I somewhat discounted JJ as a donk because if he's going to slow-play it as a flat call pre, my brain hurts trying to figure out why he'd donk, since I could have QQ, but maybe it's a "f**k it" donk, if that's a real thing.
I suppose if he shows up with JJ, then he maybe could have QQ. I just tend to think mis-regs are going to go for the obnoxious check-raise with QQ here. I could be wrong.
I think the speech tell is glaringly obvious when someone tries to sound weak, the old "time to go home, so I guess I'm all in pre" with AK+ thing. When someone acts first, then starts speaking belligerently while their opponent is thinking, I think it can be strong, but it can also be weak, depending on the context.
Like, here, if V was annoyed at me before the hand even started, maybe he tries to goad me into making a loose call so he can value own me, or maybe he's hoping I'll fold so he can show me AQdd or whatever, as if that's somehow supposed to make me feel bad about folding AK or whatever I have that isn't strong enough to call this insane over-bet donk into three opponents.
To be fair, he was kind of a semi-chatterbox. Not to the point that he wouldn't shut up, but no one in their right mind would love having this guy sitting next to them, constantly making $hlt-reg noises, which was what he was doing.
I mean...I thought he was a jerk. Others at the table didn't seem to be going out of their way to engage with him. After this hand, both card-room staff and other regs told me he's a reg and usually in a bad mood, so take that for whatever it's worth.
