NL2, 6-max, underfull vs shove
Pacific Poker - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 98 BB (VPIP: 82.76, PFR: 13.79, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 31)
BB: 108.5 BB (VPIP: 25.24, PFR: 2.91, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 210)
UTG: 163 BB (VPIP: 21.84, PFR: 17.62, 3Bet Preflop: 5.19, Hands: 1,081)
CO: 65.5 BB (VPIP: 40.37, PFR: 6.91, 3Bet Preflop: 1.08, Hands: 227)
Hero (BTN): 110.5 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♥ T♥
UTG raises to 2.5 BB, CO calls 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (10.5 BB, 4 players) T♣ J♦ Q♣
BB checks, UTG bets 8 BB, fold, Hero calls 8 BB, fold
Turn: (26.5 BB, 2 players) T♠
UTG checks, Hero bets 15 BB, UTG raises to 37.5 BB, Hero calls 22.5 BB
River: (101.5 BB, 2 players) 4♦
UTG bets 115 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 62.5 BB and is all-in
I have two questions:
- 1. Would you have called the flop? What would you have done here?
- 2. Could you have found the fold button anywhere in this hand?
6 Replies
1. yes of course
2. no
x/r on turn is generally very nutted, so in general you can safely assume no one is really bluffing at 2nl (or really even higher) at any reasonable frequency on the turn... however, vs. weaker opponents (and generally at lower limits), players will often overvalue their relative hand strength... so in that sense you're mostly banking on the fact that it is absolutely possible for OOP to still have all combos of AK here.
There are 1 combo of JJ, 3 combos of QQ, 1 combo of QTs that you lose to. This is only 5 combos of hands. For you to have a profitable call on the river he needs to have 62.5/(62.5+62.5+101.5) % of weaker combos than what you're calling with (~28%), so he only needs 2 combos of hands worse than you to call. AKs/o is 16 combos. There just needs to be around a 15 - 20% chance he plays AK like this for you to call river.
(2/(5+2)) = ~ 28%
0.15*16 = 2.4
I didn't find it either. He had QTs, if it helps.
I was asking myself about the flop play, because putting my hole cards vs. the villain's best 22% of the range, on that board, we're about 50/50.
Thanks for your help.
Pacific Poker - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 playersHand converted by PokerTracker 4SB: 98 BB (VPIP: 82.76, PFR: 13.79, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 31)BB: 108.5 BB (VPIP: 25.24, PFR: 2.91, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 210)UTG: 163 BB (VPIP: 21.84, PFR: 17.62, 3Bet Preflop: 5.19, Hands: 1,081)CO: 65.5 BB (VPIP: 40.37, PFR: 6.91, 3Bet Preflop: 1.08, Hands: 227)Hero (BTN): 110.5 BBSB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1
1/At this level, id have prob just shoved flop, 2/ No.