2024 Fantasy Football Thread

That's exactly why I was on team fade CMC this year.

But there's a pretty big stat that could sway me to still draft Saquon next season.

Yards Before Contact

Here are the top 8 rushers (not including Saquon) since 2020 with the % of their total rush yards that were before contact.

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Note that only one player had over 55% of their total rush yards come before contact, and that was CMC at 56%. Even going back to 2013 (as far back as I could find the stat), the highest I could find was Zeke at like 58%.

Do you know what Saquon's has been this season? A whopping 63%

Credit his O-line, and his vision to find the holes. He's just not being touched anywhere near as much as other top rushers from previous seasons.

He certainly had elite efficiency and still scored 15 total TDs playing with the tush push vulture. 5.81 YPC is pretty insane. He’s at 6.69 in the playoffs.

It’ll come down to whether he can keep up the explosive plays. Hurts + two elite WRs + a solid TE + a great o line helps a lot. I’ll be interested to see who they replace Moore with.

I’ll have my ~8% exposure.

My gut says 7% Barkley this year is about right.

People are punting. I'm guessing this guy didn't mean to join this draft or didn't like his start. Then he tried to cancel his way out of it with QBs and got to 5 and realized he hit the UD limit. Haha

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It's a shame my team isn't that good, but it has upside.

Burrow, Maye, Jalen Milroe
Judkins, Mondre, Charbs, Ray Davis, Allgeier, DJ Giddens, Kendre
Chase, Reek, JSN, DeVonta, Reed, QJ, Boutte
Kraft, Kincaid, Elijah Arroyo

Where does Kincaid go ?

Current ADP of 130 and I got him at 144.

He has a chance to be a steal too. He can’t be much worse than he was this year lol.

Lol, no he can't. And he dealt with a few different injuries too. Some TEs have fallen from grace compared to last season. Kincaid at 130, Andrews at 84, Kelce at 93, Pitts at 146. LaPorta is also down to 62. Ferguson is down to 142. Engram down to 134 but rising.

Bowers and McBride obviously shot up, to 16 and 30, respectively. Jonnu is up to 92. Kraft is up to 119. Likely is up 134 (gross).

Tyler Warren is the first rookie at 102. Colston Loveland at 151 and Harold Fannin at 186 are the only other rookie TEs with much of an ADP for now.

Fannin for sure passes the eye test, not sure how he’ll be in the nfl though

His box score last season is absurd. Don’t even care that it was at Bowling Green.

https://x.com/koestreicher34/status/1887...

Newguy, looks like the ravens are using madden ratings too. Guess using them for bestball wasn’t as crazy as I thought haha

There ya go, lol! Too bad the ratings aren't released until August.

My thoughts on the Jags adding Shane Waldron to the offensive staff.

lol Waldron

Sunday last chance for DFS. Running 400 lineups. Which is probably dumb considering the vast amount of ties there's going to be. Degens gonna degen, I guess.

Just pulled my #'s for the season.

Total entries -16,283
Buy-Ins - $5,748.85
Winnings - $5,080.25
Net - (-$668.60)

Could definitely be worse. I need to practice better BR management and not take so many shots at the higher buy-ins until I can actually afford to max enter them.

Last year was my most profitable dfs year since like 2018 or something when I won multiple hockey and soccer contests throughout the year

I played almost no volume last year bc I realized I suck at dfs now, but I actually binked a t10 in a milly maker so actually was profitable for once haha

What do you estimate as your weekly time spent creating entries?

Definitely < 10 hours, maybe even less than 5. I used Stokastic for most of the season just because they offered weekly plans so I didn't have to commit if I wanted to go light one week.

They have good projection tools and articles. I'd usually start digging into the slate Friday night after the injury report was out. Running some initial sims to see

A. Who do the sims really like and trying to decipher why.
B. Are the sims going light on any players that might be worth going overweight on?

I liked using the weekly rankings from FantasyPros to narrow down my player pool a little and the tools on Stokastic to see which players' projections I want to raise.

Then I'll typically wait until 1hr or 45 minutes before 1pm lock to do my final builds once the projection and ownership updates are finalized. Tweaking exposures and just making sure I'm not too over or under weight on any particular player.

Appreciate the breakdown. Not bad for 16k lineups.

Thanks. Yeah I'm pretty sure had I just stuck to doing 150 ($.05), 150 ($0.25), and then maybe 5-10 ($3) each week that I played, I'd have had a decent profit.

Or as played if any of the 3 or so top 5 finishes I had were in the higher buy-ins, I would have been in the green. Either way I enjoy it.

Enjoying it is really what it's about. That's mostly why I don't play DFS. I just don't find that weekly grind fun. The season long best ball + managed league grind is a lot of fun to me.

I'm a fantasy winner over my lifetime, but the hourly and overall ROI is awful lol. So you have to get more utility than just the $.

What do you guys think about Travis Hunter? I feel like I'm willing to smash and accept whatever outcome at his current price of WR57, ADP of 117. I might be 3x the field if he doesn't move up much more, which is really high for me.

UD was lazy and didn't even have him in the initial ranking preview before the contests dropped. The community had to ask for him to be added. Then he starts with no ADP and the early fast drafters got a steep discount. He's obviously steamed since.

He’s talented but who knows how much he plays wr. He def has upside though .

He's such a conundrum for both fantasy and real life haha. It'll be a bad look for both the GM and coach if he doesn't look good in his role his rookie season.

But yeah, I think he has crazy upside if things break right for fantasy, so why not? That area of the draft usually results in a lot of zeros and disappointments, anyways. And finding a league winner there is game changing. I'm hoping we'll have more clarity after the draft.