2024 Fantasy Football Thread

I was basically even with both teams, but I’ll gladly take that result. BEAR DOWN!

I entered 1 FFPC playoff contest. This might be semi live

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I have a ton of packers paired with
Bills. I may still advance a ton of teams but who knows how live they will be .

And now it’s dead haha

Loving my cmc fade right now lmao

This is why I can’t get into playoff best ball lol.

The eagles OC is getting a HC interview with Baltimore (along with Nagy)

Also I’m convinced (50% joking) that the ravens are interviewing Nagy to trick the browns and titans into hiring him haha

I've got 20% CMC, but that also includes 16% Kittle

Kittle’s injury sucks.

True

If ATL hires Lefleur, Harbaugh + Monken, Kubiak, or Ruxin (at OC) does Bijan become the locked in 1.01

If they hire someone trash like McCarthy, Garrett, etc… how far does he fall?

100%

I'd still have him at the 1.01 with Fat Mike, and top 3/top 5, regardless of who they hire.

I’ll be shocked if Bijan is not the 1.01 in ADP to open and for all of draft season, regardless of who they hire.

If I’m just going off of what I think the market does, I think it’ll be for the top 12:

Bijan
Gibbs
Chase
Puka
CMC
JSN
JT
Achane
ARSB
Cook
McBride

Then 12, not 100% sure. Probably one of CD, Nico, London.

This is what you want from your highest own best ball player lmao

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Way too early take but I'm calling JT to be next seasons 1st round bust, also from that list I couldn't ever see me taking him over ARSB especially in best ball

Also feels weird not seeing JJ in the 1st, I get it, I don't think I could ever pass on him if he falls to mid/late 2nd

Based on the history of RBs that lead the league in touches the previous year, CMC is the easiest 1st round pick to bust.

I'll take it, I guess. Although sad to say I had zero of my double bye teams advance. So looks like I'll be rooting for the Bills the rest of the way.

Yeah, I'm going to have a tough time picking JT at that price, but I think that's about where the market will have him. Achane will also be tough without McDaniel. It'll depend on who they hire. With that said, both guys can easily be the guy you need in weeks 15-17, so I'll be mixing both in at probably a 6-8% clip, if that's their price.

I think the market kind of views ARSB's ceiling as a 1/2 turn pick, so I think that's where he ends up again. I wouldn't be surpirsed to see him behind Cook and McBride too.

JJ is going to be a disgusting click, no matter where he ends up. I think he'll be around the 2/3 turn. At that price, probably just have to close your eyes and hope and mix in at a 6-8% clip. I get betting on the talent, and that's the game we are playing. But the situation is not ideal, regardless of who they bring in to compete against JJM.

It's certainly an interesting phenomenon.

For the last 15 seasons, I went back and looked at games played the following season, touches the following season, and PPR fantasy average per game the following season. Even the guys that played most of the games had a pretty decent drop off in scoring. It was a logical bet to make against Saquon this year, especially after all of his explosives last year. I still didn't do it, especially given his spike week upside. I had about 8%.

With that said, and CMC makes the list twice with a ton of missed games in each of the following seasons, it's tough to bet against CMC where the only way it fails is injury. I just don't see him dropping off dramatically in scoring without it, even if the efficiency isn't there. He has too many sticky stats. I'll probably aim to be even with the field, given his expected cost. I won't be fading, except maybe in an instance where he suffers an injury at some point in the offseason.

The chart only includes regular season stats, so playoff runs certainly add to the issue.

Way I see it, he can certainly affect advance rate if he's good again, but only really hurts a fade if he smashes in Weeks 14-17.

Even then, you can still survive with good pod luck.

CMC and Reek (if he even plays) are the only 2 on my fade list so far.

Weeks 15-17 are certainly the most important. But CMC was just RB14, RB3, and RB4 in those 3 weeks in .5 PPR.

I agree on Reek. I'll be hard fading in the pre-draft stuff. We'll see what things look like post-draft.

I think Kittle might have just made my fade list too, depending on his price.

Other guys with big impact injuries are:

Kraft - Sounds like recovery is going well so far, and he's young. I'll probably be in, especially if he's outside of the top 100 in ADP.

Nabers - I'm still not really sure on him. I'll have to see price and progressive reports. I don't think we are going to get a big discount and current reports have not been favorable.

Hunter - I don't think his injury will affect him much heading into next year, but man, things look a little dicey with Meyers plus the emergence of Washington. Jags could easily push him more towards CB. I don't think his price will be much cheaper, either.

Conner - I think I'll just be fading, unless he's really cheap.

Mahomes - Ick, I'm really not sure here. This whole offense just has a bitter taste right now.

Skattebo - Dude is a maniac. I'll proably be in, but he could certainly disappoint between health and the Giants possibly being a below average offense. I think he's going to be pretty expensive.

Judkins - Probably going to be pretty expensive. The injury shouldn't affect him too much by the start of next season, but between that and the offensive environment, he might be a tough click.

LaPorta - I'll have to see price, but I'll probably be willing to draft him.

Mixon - Unless he retires, he could be interesting if he's really cheap. I wish we knew more about what exactly is going on.

Braleon - He should be healthy and Breece could be gone, but what is it really worth on this offense, anyways? I expect him to start cheap, though.

And then guys like Ertz, Ekeler, etc. are going to be easy early fades, even at cheap prices.

Anyone else I'm missing?

Yea Mahomes is tough coming off an injury and if nothing else changes. If they got Ruxin as their OC or brought back Bienemy, then I'd have some interest.

This guy.

Let's go, Tai Felton szn

lol, I forgot about that guy.

Also, the Chargers have been freed. Let's hope Harbaugh brings in someone more modern. That offense has to be better, regardless of the oline issues.