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Threads with recently added new postsHe is calling 22 bb to win 41.5 (your 26.5 plus 13.5 from the short stack shove and two callers plus 1.5 from the blinds). Even without bounties factored in he needs 34.6% equity to make that call. 87s vs AQs has 38.8% equity. Obviously he doesnÂ’t know your iso shove range here, but with a short stack all in and a lot of dead money, AQs is probably near the top of it. He certainly had plenty of equity vs a reasonable iso shove range to call, even without the opportunity to pick up two bounties.
There certainly is no evidence of anything sketchy going on here, even if this were a bad call. You are being results oriented; do you not want people calling your shoves with lesser hands? Of course you do, but sometimes they will bust you when they do. That’s poker.
I personally will jam lighter in a bounty tournament because so many people will call me lighter.
And that's generally correct to do, I'm pretty sure.
There were so many spewy players at the table i felt i could find a better spot but I think now that's rather hopeful w 5min levels and c20bbs.
Yeah, if the levels are that short there really is no "waiting for a better spot." And this actual spot also gives you a chance to make actual money immediately on top of likely being +cEV, which has to be factored into your equity calculation.
I might go slightly larger preflop at this depth-- not a whole lot larger since the open is already 2.67x, but maybe to 2500.
Folding the turn seems correct. BB's entire value range is beating you here. If you haven't been 3-betting much then AK is a significant part of your bet/call flop range and he's still not concerned at all about getting the money in. I'd be very surprised if he shows up with worse aces than yours preflop (maaaaybe AJs and I don't know why he'd check-raise the flop with that).
I just don't see many bluffs, either, especially considering how narrow his preflop range for cold calling is. It would have to literally be something like "check-raised TT with the Tc on flop to try to fold out JJ-KK, then turned the perfect card to blast off with a semibluff." And even then you're probably not betting JJ-KK on this flop for 1/2 pot, and if you do you're probably not calling the flop raise. (Although with that turn card he'd probably shove and pray anyway.)
His range is pretty narrow preflop, but if he's not prone to running elaborate high-risk multi-stage bluffs, then he's only going to have the value portion here, which I think is most likely 99, sometimes 88, maybe rarely AK or AA. (He probably doesn't really have the semibluffs that got there in his preflop range, either, but they all got there on the turn, just in case you think he might have them.)
Thank you for the responses. I accepted this is reality that people hate being squeezed at these stakes and don't like to fold pre-flop. I decided to ship some of my value hands pre-flop and see if I got action.
HJ is steaming from losing around 100bb after getting it in against Aces on a Q,J,6 board a few hands ago.
Button seems to call too light heads up based upon previous hands. VPIP a little too high for his skill imho
2/3 NLHE - Straddle is on
Hero has $112
HJ has $136
Button has $260
Hero: Qd,Qs
Folds around to HJ
HJ calls $6 straddle
Button raises to $30
Hero all-in for $112
Before shoving I check my watch, see its 12:05am, say "ugh... $30? Well if I lose I get to go home"
BB folds
UTG Folds
HJ all in for $136
Button calls $136
Board:
Q,J,5,5,3
Hero shows full house, HJ shows 5c,7c, and button mucks. I think to myself "... I guess its that easy sometimes." :shrug:
Appreciate you guys. Thanks!
(410 messages from you and you seem very interesting.
Ideas for you : getting XG and book "theory of backgammon" from Dirk Schiemann.)
2 kind of equities: cubeless and cubeful. With XG, you can get both (on XG you have to let a mouse on a certain move to get the associated ecl (equity cubeless)).
It happens both moves has same ECL but different equities (==cubeful equities, which matters and the end). However, it's more the exception than the rule.
Usually the difference between two moves in equity cubeful are greater than differences in ECL. If you are favorite, the best move gives you better ECL and closer to an efficient double.
If you are underdog, the best move reduces probability to give efficient double to opponent.
Calling flop is really bad here. We need to protect against spades and Broadway cards.
It doesn't apply to this hand since apparently the BB took a stab with nothing, but FWIW I feel like all the spewy stuff happens early to mid stages in the Boski and once we are ITM people play very tight and nearly always have it.
Shove 3 handed with a bounty.
I would fold pre, and I would fold the turn. Folding the turn is basically why I would fold pre. Unless you hit 2p+, you're never going to be comfortable with this hand postflop. You will often be beat, and when not beat, you can easily be bluffed off your hand. So just don't play it. Don't get tricked into thinking you should call because of pot odds. It is hard to win multiway pots, so even with great odds we need to be tight when entering them, especially when out of position.
Late but the bluff alarm bells rang when I saw V didn't bet the turn when checked to. Trips is such a monster late in a tournament that not at least putting in a small bet would make little sense.
I don't love the spot, but jamming is 200 more, pot will be 705 if we get it in. Don't see any point in just calling and leaving 100 behind. We need 28.3% equity to win if he always calls. Just the possibility that he can have AK here makes it seem reasonable to jam. You also have decent equity vs 2 pairs and at least you have 10% vs a set, so when you factor in the AK and potential other Kx in his range, we are likely to have equity vs the population of players that would do this.
On another note, I have never played spread limit and it sounds like garbage. Not sure if we would rather do this or just bet on the flop ourselves.
When we are opening to 10, our 320 effective is pretty shallow and I don't feel too bad about stacking off with an overpair in this spot.
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Post: GOAL #1: At least $1k profit a month
Forum: Poker Blogs and Goals
Posted by: Kendoo
Original Content:
I dont think you will succeed in poker - your bankroll strategy and your handhistories are awful
Assigned Moderators: Alobar, marknfw
Iso seems good if you think you have an edge
As a rule I play limped pots very cautiously. they aren't money spinners and we aren't leaking much EV by playing conservatively. They're basically bingo
I would just call flop and then one more street. Bet river as played to snare weaker Ax
H1 -
PRE - Raise or fold. Don't limp from the small blind. KTo is mostly a fold, but if BB and straddle over-fold in this spot, we can occasionally raise.
FLOP - Start with a 1/3-1/2 pot bet, not a check. If you're going to check-raise, go bigger, at least $80, if not $100. But better to just bet out for 1/2 pot.
TURN - Keep betting. He shouldn't have called our flop x/r with any nut flush draws. Yes, he could have some better KX, but a lot of his better KX would raise pre or 3B flop. He could have some 9x, and some non-believing PP's, or some unpaired Broadway combos/draws we could target for value.
RIVER - Yuck. If we bet flop, got called, and bet turn, and got called, I'd probably check to induce a bluff. As played, I kinda hate folding, because our hand is so under-repped, but I can't figure out what worse hands would bet here when we x/r'd flop and c/c'd turn, so I guess fold.
H2 -
PRE - Why open to $40? Why not $30. Otherwise, it seems fine.
FLOP - just check. Call if he bets small. If you're going to c-bet the flop, go bigger when heads-up and OOP, like 2/3 pot.
TURN - size up with our bet. Betting $80 into $180 isn't going to get it done. Bet at least $120, if not $150.
RIVER - Yuck. Fold.
Problems I see with both hands:
1. the hand selections of KTo and ATo, combined with our actions, are not great. In a three-blind structure, we should probably just fold KTo. Opening ATo in LP is marginal.
2. We're not following through with our flop aggression on later streets. If we're going to check, I'd rather go check-bet-bet than bet-bet-check or bet-check-check. In hand 1, x/r'ing flop and checking turn and river looks like we're giving up with weak KX. In hand 2, we let V realize his equity cheaply by betting so small on the turn.
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Post: GOAL #1: At least $1k profit a month
Forum: Poker Blogs and Goals
Posted by: mitsi
Original Content:
Assigned Moderators: Alobar, marknfw
Generally speaking, BDFDs in the same suit as the top card are slightly better, for the reason Haizemberg stated.
If you hit river your flush, and it's the same suit as the top card, that means your opponent's top pair can't also be a flush. In other words, your BDFD has more equity against the top of your opponent's range, and lower reverse implied odds.
--
In your very specific example, I think IP 3-bets bluffs with the non-BDFD because they want to unblock the BDFD hands that OOP check-raise-folds
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Post: 1-2-5-25 with 372 and AQo on BTN
Forum: Live No-Limit Hold’em Cash
Posted by: Grimstard
Original Content:
Wtf this threads dumb
Assigned Moderators: mikech, BigBadBabar, Admo, JMurder3, venice10, Garick, iraisetoomuch
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Post: $20 to $100k Challenge
Forum: General Poker Discussion
Posted by: fozzy71
Original Content:
the next K-Mart... Yawn.....
Assigned Moderators: Rich Muny, JMurder3, whosnext
You obviously need to sleep with these men before she does, thus establishing dominance.
A lot of it will be about the music I’ve made and am continuing to create along with my real time journey of going from an open mic performer to whatever is in store for me. But I plan on having some “real life” posts similar to the ones I’ve made in here. One for sure I will write about is the experience I had trying Ayahuasca for the first time recently. Onward and upward gentlemen, only love is real
Given its a 2 day tournament the blind levels will likely be a little longer than the tourneys you usually play and the field will likely be stronger (unless you are at the last day 1 where it can be anything). Though at 25 minutes its fairly normal.
Also note that Day 2 levels may be longer than Day 1.
So I play a little tighter than I do in 1 day tournaments where I fell like I have to improve my stack much more quickly.
For example in the Super Senior WSOP last year after day 1 I had like 20 blinds. But on Day 2 I managed to crush it and expanded my stack significantly because of the table I was at (and because I hit some big hands while other players had slightly worse hands).
So be patient.
Also understand that it is far more difficult to go deep with 700 players than with like 150. So I don't get too upset when I don't go deep.
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Post: 1000 Days, No Fapping and no Weed
Forum: Poker Blogs and Goals
Posted by: valentyne187
Original Content:
Assigned Moderators: Alobar, marknfw
Hello, could you please try to reinstall Hand2Note 4:
1. Uninstall Hand2Note 4 through the Windows Settings -> Apps & features (Control Panel).
2. After uninstalling there are still remaining files in Hand2Note folder, you have to delete them manually. By default it is C:/Program Files/Hand2Note4.
3. Also please delete the Hand2Note 4 database by deleting the Databases folder, which is located in the C:/Users/YourUsername/AppData/Roaming/Hand2Note folder
4. Download the latest version of the installer and install. https://h2n.blob.core.windows.net/hand2n...
5. Try to launch H2N4 as an administrator and check if it helped.
If you need to save all your settings, you should backup your Config and Notes before uninstalling using this feature:
(Make sure to keep the backup files in a safe folder)
Marked hands have to be copied manually from C:\Program Files\Hand2Note4\MarkedHands.
If the steps above will solve you issue, you can try to restore your settings:
