Game is $2-$100 spread. Villain has $500 and I cover.
HAND: I open JhJc to $10, folds to Villain in BB, he calls.
FLOP: KhQhTc (pot: $20, heads-up). V checks I bet $12 he calls.
TURN: KhQhTc 2c (pot: $40, heads-up). V checks I bet $35 he calls.
RIVER: KhQhTc 2c 4c (pot: $110, heads-up)
V checks.
We bet $100 or check?
RESULT: I bet $100 and Villain tank-folds.
RESULT
HAND: An EP limp, I raise Tc8c in the CO to $10. Villain in BB calls, lumper calls.
(…)RIVER: QdJsTh 5s 9s (pot: $120, heads-up).
Interesting! I hit the dummy end. He checks again. [/B]
I bet $35, looking for value from top pair/2-pair hands.
Villain check-raises to $135 and I obviously fold.
By the river, I'm not thinking about the suits of my K's. I'm just looking at the way the hand played out.
It sucks to fold AA/KK here, but we have to think logically. Most V's aren't going to run a big two-street bluff on a board like this, where one or more obvious draws get there, and the board is paired, and the paired card is one that's feature heavily in our range.
As the PFR, we're going to have QQ/AQ/KQ here a fair bit, and some flushes, and some AA/KK that just don't want to fold. It's u
Agreed on all points! Thanks for the indepth feedback.
This read was a trip down memory lane in a few ways.
I was just thinking about your comment about changing to adapt to game conditions. I think this is huge in live poker. Especially in Low and mid stakes where the “discipline” is poor. Players steam, tilt and react personally to the play of their opponents.
Most old time strategists in books (Doyle, Caro, The Boom notables) all used to talk about “switching gears”.
There are various windows of opportunity presented in the course of a typical session. Deviating hard from standard strat is appropriate.
I was also thinking of a poster from 5 or 6 years ago. I think his name was Ben. He woul post these long posts about his strategy which was generally a balanced strat al la Mathew Janda “Applications oh NLH” or Millers 1%. (Pre solver attempts at GTO). I suggested at the time that in 5 years this would become the norm for strat discussion. Largely I think it has. I only recently returned to watching and reading some strat and the difference from 5 or 6 years ago is rather striking.
Along these lines. A huge thank you to whoever started overemphasizing blockers. There are a number of players who misunderstand the use of blockers and actually overbluff in spots. Because they use large bet sizings they are getting folds from nits without nuts but their lines often don’t rep in any way the hands they block.
Regarding solvers… I had started playing around with Card Runners EV back in the day. I recently have been looking at solvers again. Someone mention node locking and I think this video does a nice job of showing how node locking can be used to develop an exploit strat.
I enjoyed the read Vernon.
Im now arrested for 4 weeks... Thx
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Now that I'm older, and more wise. I'm curious to know which Poker Stars Tournament this was lol. I miss the good ole days. And I still feel great slowrolling the 88... Classy **** if ya ask me.
I appreciate the advice and I'd agree 100%. I realized poker favors aggression and those aggressive players tend to win more. Another question that how is your luck of playing poker? This question seems silly but it has happened to me in the past 3 years of playing poker that 90% of the time I'm ahead before all in that turned out I get bad beat and suck out on later street. 10% I'd suck them out. I don't think this percentage relationship is healthy and I don't know how to turn it around.
This is not really possible. Unless you are using biased samples as to what constitutes ahead vs behind, or the sample size is ~10, this just won't happen.
If you think of QQ vs AK as ahead, but QQ vs AA behind, they are just not remotely similar.
Here's an idea going forward. Note your all ins. Put them in an equity calculator. You will probably find that the percentages are a lot closer when you are ahead than you think.
As an example....it may seem like you have a 'lock' on the KJ vs JT hand, but Villain had about 15.5% equity on that hand. You had 84.5%.
You can score this as -84.5. Take all these spots, and add them up. Divide by the number of instances. When you have had 50 or so, come back to us with the number.
Hello, unfortunately there is no such option.
We may add it in the future.
The computers will tell you to always bet call on this flop, delaying further aggression till the turn. EV's run very close on flop actions though so more consideration should be given to exploitation. Absent that intel it's best to just play like the comp and call the flop. 3 betting is not bad by any stretch, it's just a little better to call... like $1 better.
On the turn, the 7c is the worst of the three for our range so we should minimize our aggression here. Ah is the best card for us and is certainly a good option for a turn raise. If we happen to have the QJs the 2s is a good card to raise the turn on, otherwise just calling seems prudent to me.
Saw that you're online today urubu. I have read your thread and hope you're doing well! VAMOOOo
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It's tricky to give hard/fast rules because everything is in relation to how well you know the spot better than your opponent.
As a rough guide I would say focus on giving yourself whatever piece of information that would've been useful to know the next time you play vs that villain. So if you see someone calling down with A high -> mark station. And adjust accordingly next time by reducing bluff range to smaller bluffs (or none) only and thin value bet them to death.
Someone playing AK passively preflop is likely to be under value betting postflop etc. For me that gets a passive tag. If I see them doing something different i'll change 'em. But it always helps to have a broad picture. Aggro guys are usually relentless overbluffers, so I know to smuggle in as many traps as I can after I catch them out once or twice.
But it all depends on how well you know what is 'correct' first. You have to be confident in what mistakes your opponent's are making in order to deviate and exploit them for it. Not to mention there are pool tendencies that might make a reg look 'bad' when they were deviating wildly to exploit something about a different fish you haven't seen. So it's always pretty loose. Thus tags can be quite subjective, depending on your style.
At a certain point MDA for rare lines falls apart though.
1) they don't happen often enough with the same people to ever find out what they would do consistently on certain extremely rare runouts against an ever-changing roster of different opponents and 2) strategies are always in flux anyway. This is evern more true for fish. Mr 2% turn signal guy is going to read a book at some point and realise people keep crashing into him unless he tells them he's turning. Suddenly all our data and calcs are useless in a heartbeat for that specific outlier.
I'm only just starting using MDA, I'm a noob. I'm looking through my DB and the patterns are def interesting and useful. But even the broadest takeaways (eg. fish overfold turn OB) are usually fragile and context dependent. There are showdown biases, game biases, individual biases. Drunk guy biases. All these variables spoil the broth. To quantify all that you'd need computers the size of this:
Also AFAICT you can actually have too much data for MDA. E.g. if you surveyed the entire planet for their favourite colour and you took that answer and applied it to every continent. The game (and sapiens) are too dynamic to solve at the extreme ends, and any algo to account for those wilder fluctuations is just god mode.
I actually like a flat on flop multiway. We have nut nut draws. If we hit we are going to gain a lot from the others on turn and river. If we miss we check turn.
If we were heads up and not multiway I would raise flop as played.
Hmm. These might be a little tricky since at stakes this low you're going to see a lot of odd play, but I'll do my best.
Hand 1 - I'd just fold, you have two people to act behind you and this is a pretty dry and static flop. It doesn't really make sense for him to be doing this with less than a better Jx than yours. Maybe he's just off his rocker and blasting at a board he thinks everyone missed, but you can't assume that and you don't even close the action to see what he'll do on the turn.
Hand 2 - where the callers are and which player donked out matters, but at these stakes and with the pot already as big as it is I probably just get it in and expect to see a good 7x or some kind of pair and straight draw combo a substantial amount of the time. (Which is a great result for you with 88 if they have 75/65/54 type hands, because you block the top end of the straight and their two-pair card gives you a straight.)
Hand 3 - Again, the preflop action and the size of the pot really matter here. Absent other information though I just get it in; you'll see worse Kx and 65 a lot.
Hand 4 - Again, here's where the size of the pot and the actual action matter. There's a big difference between you betting last to act, getting check-raised all-in, and then cold re-shoved, vs. if the first guy to act shoves and the second reshoves. And there's a big difference if the shove is like 2/3 pot vs. 2x pot. In general at these stakes I probably stack off because with the four-straight I wouldn't be surprised if at least one of them has Tx (or even 65) and we beat a lot of flushes.
In the future, try to include as much detail as you can in each hand, because the action before the decision point and the size of the pot really matter to answering these questions.
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Because you were a ****ing moron for posting it in the first place.
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The block migraine.
He probably doesn't jam AQ so I lean towards bet/folding at a 'call-me-Kx' 0.5ish pot level.
I'd bet the turn almost always. Neither of you should have a j much. Your hand wants protection.
If you want to check the turn with some good hands, a jack might be better. I don't think you need to check this turn all that often.
Maybe something like AK can check here too, taking a free card but also picking off river bluffs sometimes.
Don't see much reason to check TT.
AP I think it's a fairly easy call vs most. Your hand looks week and he isn't repping much.
weeeeee
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I'm no longer really concerned with showcasing some of these bot sites/rta stuff etc. since it's all just a google away these days, but reading their forums and stuff is pretty depressing.
Also examples of people using these bots on zone btw
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weird