2024 ELECTION THREAD

2024 ELECTION THREAD

The next presidential race will be here soon! Please see current Bovada odds. Thoughts?

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14 July 2022 at 02:28 PM
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by natediggity k

OMG. In order for your statement to be true there has to be a possibility of Montana going blue.....otherwise you wouldn't have named that state.

Le sigh.

I don't know what to tell you. Do you really feel like scoring this point against me is worth this effort? If you want to think that's what I meant, I guess be my guest.


by the pleasure k

that was suposedly expected when manchin said he was done,both parties knew accrding to both HQ

I know. I was being sarcastic. A Republican was 100% guaranteed to win that seat.


Trump 61-38.5 in Georgia with 8.5% in, but it's a fake lead as the vote dumps were mostly from very red counties


by Luciom k

Trump 61-38.5 in Georgia with 8.5% in, but it's a fake lead as the vote dumps were mostly from very red counties

I think he loses GA for sure now since ATL area vote isnt even in yet.


polls are stupid

its about vibes

Trump train steaming to a landslide victory

The donald campaigned like a genius on a mission and kamala pretty much played peak a boo


by the pleasure k

I think he loses GA for sure now since ATL area vote isnt even in yet.

Rockdale and Douglas counties are mostly in, but a lot is missing. Gonna be close i guess, but he is under 50% of making it there


West Virginia added to the called states so Trump 23, Harris 3.


by hole in wan k

polls are stupid

its about vibes

Trump train steaming to a landslide victory

The donald campaigned like a genius on a mission and kamala pretty much played peak a boo

I can certainly see why you prefer to focus on masculinity rather than intelligence in your many deep dive analyses on this forum.


by Gorgonian k

Maybe you just don't know what vulnerable means? I don't know what to tell you. Do you really feel like scoring this point against me is worth this effort? If you want to think that's what I meant, I guess be my guest.

Vulnerable = it might happen = don't rule it out

I guess this is where you say you are done with the conversation like every other one when you are wrong. "Let's agree to disagree"


by Luciom k

No there is no obligation.

That means though that we have to assume , through his actual revealed preferences, he doesn't think Harris odds are so high.

Actions > words

Agree with you there. Barring gambling addiction, religion, etc. "I could easily make a fortune in EV here but don't want to," is BS.


by d2_e4 k

Compared to the other half. Compared to any other country, it's more like three quarters.

California, 3rd stupidest state in the Union



what votes are in for NC? trump seemed to be getting ****ing clobbered there with 5% in


Kamala doing worse than Biden did in urban areas of Florida is not a great sign. But it's Florida, so who knows.


fwiw polymarket went from 58% to 65% for trump with current data drops


by natediggity k

Vulnerable = it might happen = don't rule it out

I guess this is where you say you are done with the conversation like every other one when you are wrong. "Let's agree to disagree"

Vulnerable means susceptible to attack. You probably should've looked it up. And yes, like I said, you are free to think I believe whatever you want, but only one of us knows what I actually believe.


yeah imo FL is an outlier and so is Iowa

I wanna see the NC vote dumps becuase thats crazy for himto be this behind early


It's looking like the economy is gonna sink the Democrat ship.


by Gorgonian k

Vulnerable means susceptible to attack. You probably should've looked it up. And yes, like I said, you are free to think I believe whatever you want, but only one of us knows what I actually believe.

"unexpectedly" turn blue tomorrow

just stop


by mongidig k

It's looking like the economy is gonna sink the Democrat ship.

Which would be insane given it's in the top 10% of the "states of the economy" in the last century+


by natediggity k

"unexpectedly" turn blue tomorrow

just stop

I stopped a long time ago. You're the df that is still going on this stupid topic. Here I'll help you stop. On to ignore you go.


by TookashotatChan k

California, 3rd stupidest state in the Union

Didn't realise that was your home state. Just think - if you moved to Mississippi, we could bring up both averages at once.


by the pleasure k

I wanna see the NC vote dumps becuase thats crazy for himto be this behind early

https://www.politico.com/2024-election/r...

It isn't filling in much yet.


Bit of a drift on Harris on betfair last 10 mins or so

Trump 1.5
Harris 2.98


why is polymarket and robinhood so diff than other betting sites?


by Gorgonian k

I stopped a long time ago. You're the df that is still going on this stupid topic. Here I'll help you stop. On to ignore you go.

by natediggity k

I guess this is where you say you are done with the conversation like every other one when you are wrong. "Let's agree to disagree"

and there it is

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