2024 ELECTION THREAD

Loudoun county Virginia, a very popolous blue stronghold (Biden +25 in 2020), swinged 8 points toward Trump (Harris +17 currently) with 97% of the vote in.

74-26 right now

Cruz less than +3% with 51% of the vote in for senate in Texas

Brown (D) +1.5% in Ohio with 45% of the vote in , gonna be close

All eyes on Pennsylvania for rest of night.

Starting to see similar poll outperformance by Trump in GA and NC

ok good talk you have no respect for me and trust and believe the feelings are mutual so kindly leave me alone.

Trump at 90% of winning NC on polymarket (no idea why)

Ill still take 65% if anyone wants.

Guys, so far nothing has flipped from 2020 right?

Nah I'm still in same place I was before votes started coming in

Pockets of interestingness here or there but on balance no real surprises to big picture that I can see

you can get 20-1 on your money that trump wins VA, it isn't happening

Ill give you 50 50 if your feeling frisky

Yikes

Thx. I'll do what I want, just as you always do.

True, but if it's close it's a major indicator of the overall result.

No states have flipped from 2020 so far, but Trump is overperforming and Harris is underperforming....win PA and end of story for either.

It isn't close once you break down how votes are expected to be tallied in that state.

Montreal... you can get that Kamala pop vote at the odds you wanted now.

At this rate trump might win the pop

Trump might as well go ahead and claim victory, huh?

impossible since texas and CA shes gonna get 6m from CA alone and 3.5m from texas and the difference in NYC

Trump is still more hbehind in PA than I hink his team woudl liked this early

a lot more red tends to report early, but that's within the range of possibility. And if that happens and Harris wins maybe there would be enough votes to toss the EC for good

https://x.com/bluestein/status/185397856...

stop the count!

Yep Harris still easily over 50% of winning the pop vote