2024 ELECTION THREAD

2024 ELECTION THREAD

The next presidential race will be here soon! Please see current Bovada odds. Thoughts?

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14 July 2022 at 02:28 PM
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by Gorgonian k

Why would you be sure of that?

You're so sure Harris is going to win and this is extreme value for you. If you're sincere I'm sure you can't resist.


by Rococo k

Gorgonian's predictions always seemed like wishcasting.

At this point, I'd be very, very surprised if Harris won NC or Georgia. It all comes down to PA. Harris's underperformance in Virginia suburns is a worrying sign, and I'd put the odds at approximately where the betting markets are.

What were my predictions?


by campfirewest k

You're so sure Harris is going to win and this is extreme value for you. If you're sincere I'm sure you can't resist.

If you paid any attention in this thread, you'd know I haven't placed any bets on anything since 2012.


pretty sure dems need to stop trying to nominate women because americans just suck lol


by Gorgonian k

What were my predictions?

Your prediction was that Harris was likely to win and that a decisive victory for Harris was in play.


by ladybruin k

Hildawg lost the white female vote.

Yeah, but literally no one likes her.


by Gorgonian k

If you paid any attention in this thread, you'd know I haven't placed any bets on anything since 2012.

this should be a bannable offense


by Rococo k

Your prediction was that Harris was likely to win and that a decisive victory for Harris was in play.

So did she win?


by ladybruin k

There have only been two female candidates for a DEM/GOP party run for president. I think the models/polling still does a horrible job predicting how people will vote for a female. Hildawg lost the white female vote.

This is a dismaying point, but probably correct.


by wreckem713 k

this should be a bannable offense

What offense is that?


by Gorgonian k

So did she win?

I guess we will see. If you don't like the word prediction, then we can say that your interpretation of the tea leaves reflected a lot of wishcasting.

Don't get me wrong. I wanted you to be correct. But I was skeptical. I always thought that this election would be very close and that Kamala's win, if it occurred, was very likely to be narrow.


by Gorgonian k

What offense is that?

....

by Gorgonian k

I haven't placed any bets on anything since 2012.


by wreckem713 k

....

So, what offense were you referring to?


by Gorgonian k

So, what offense were you referring to?

lol

nice multi tabling w/ you


Reuters have called NC for Trump

Harris now 5.2 on Betfair as well looks like gg


by POGcrazy94 k

Reuters have called NC for Trump

Harris now 5.2 on Betfair as well looks like gg

Reuters doesn't have that on their site.


by campfirewest k

I'm sure our man Gorgonian is backing up the truck.

I would back up the truck on Harris right now. but no one seems to want to bet.


by Victor k

I would back up the truck on Harris right now. but no one seems to want to bet.

shes 20 cents on polymarket bro. its free value rn


by Luciom k

Trump +5.5% in Georgia, around 90% to win it according to polymarket

its going to come down to PA like we all knew


by Victor k

I would back up the truck on Harris right now. but no one seems to want to bet.

bovada will take your action. shes +300 rn


by the pleasure k

shes 20 cents on polymarket bro. its free value rn

Im an old man I dont have any of these newfangled online gambling sites and I long ago traded my bitcoins for molly.




by checkraisdraw k

pretty sure dems need to stop trying to nominate women because americans just suck lol

Try nominating a strongly rightwing woman who doesn't compromise with the left on values , a Trump with good manners, and see what happens like in Italy.


where's D2?


I'm amused at the number of people that already forgot about the red mirage concept. Georgia and North Carolina are still toss-ups.

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