2024 ELECTION THREAD

2024 ELECTION THREAD

The next presidential race will be here soon! Please see current Bovada odds. Thoughts?

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14 July 2022 at 02:28 PM
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by zers k

Anyone? No. However, he's not the moron that a lot of folks make him out to be. It's clear when you see him talk out of character. His incoherent meanderings at debates, rallies and in the media are done with intent.

I've never seen that guy sound anything but completely incoherent, but admittedly I don't follow him that much.

By "anyone" I meant he sounds more incoherent than anyone else I've ever heard speak who doesn't have a diagnosed mental condition.

Maybe he's not a moron in his secret heart, but he sure does a great job playing one on TV.


by Gorgonian k

I think it's mostly just 8. And I think the reason they don't care is that they don't know he does it. For at least a sizable portion of them. I've been struck by the number of times people don't even know how egregious his lies were when confronted with them.

Well that and #6.

by Gorgonian k

Yes. The education and knowledge of most of the populace is so low that this is all they see. It's far more true than it should be.

and the cycle begins anew lolololololol


by Gorgonian k

I think Buttigieg would be the favorite over Newsome. I think Harris wouldn't be the nominee this time if Buttigieg had decided to throw his hat in, but he was correct not to in order to preserve unity for the party.

Basically no volume, but market is up.



Whitmer 2028, let’s try another female lol


what does the cents number mean in terms of betting? How does it compare to a sports money line bet?


by coordi k

Can we just full stop acknowledge that this "DEI" nonsense is just racism and the whole "slept her way to the top" stuff was just misogyny and accept that her race and gender played a massive role in people holding her to a standard that is fully unattainable next to the non-existent expectations of Donald Trump.

this is an odd response to a candidate who biden specifically said was only picked because she was a black woman and someone who actually did sleep her way to the top


https://www.wsj.com/finance/how-the-trum...

lol all these money spend in U.S polling and they couldn't figure out a simple way of doing neighborhood polling like this guy.


by Henry_Sugar k

what does the cents number mean in terms of betting? How does it compare to a sports money line bet?

50c is 1:1 odds
25c 2:1 odds
10c 5:1 odds
and just reverse it
75c 1:2 odds
90c 1:5 odds
etc

I’m pretty sure that’s correct based on the bet I made last night


by pocket_zeros k

always thought it was "monday detail"


by rickroll k

this is an odd response to a candidate who biden specifically said was only picked because she was a black woman and someone who actually did sleep her way to the top

In 2004 she won an election to become DA of SF
In 2011 she won an election to become AG of CA
In 2017 she won an election to become a Senator of CA

Thats a whole lot of sleeping around apparently.

Wild how you guys are literally jumping through hoops to make my point for me


You have no choice Kamala to ensure there is a peaceful transition given the thumping she received.


by d2_e4 k

I've never seen that guy sound anything but completely incoherent, but admittedly I don't follow him that much.

By "anyone" I meant he sounds more incoherent than anyone else I've ever heard speak who doesn't have a diagnosed mental condition.

Never seems a bit hyperbolic. I just think more people would have picked up on this by now, but emotions get the best of them, and it's easier to dismiss his intelligence. What he's doing is actually smart. The guy plays the media like a fiddle. Anyway, here are some examples of him speaking coherently and not doing a bit.


by DonJuan k

https://www.wsj.com/finance/how-the-trum...

lol all these money spend in U.S polling and they couldn't figure out a simple way of doing neighborhood polling like this guy.

Pretty ingenious. Nice to see someone develop a novel thesis and put it to the ultimate test with his own money and win big from it.


by craig1120 k

Working class men, no matter what race, who are dissatisfied, are going to be attracted to a more masculine vision of leadership. There is a deep reason for this.

Trump is not a strong candidate, but the blue team is completely oblivious on how to connect with working class men.

good post


by rickroll k

always thought it was "monday detail"

Somebody has a case of the Mondays!


by DonJuan k

https://www.wsj.com/finance/how-the-trum...

lol all these money spend in U.S polling and they couldn't figure out a simple way of doing neighborhood polling like this guy.

good article, thanks for sharing.


by zers k

Never seems a bit hyperbolic. I just think more people would have picked up on this by now, but emotions get the best of them, and it's easier to dismiss his intelligence. What he's doing is actually smart. The guy plays the media like a fiddle. Anyway, here are some examples of him speaking coherently.

I guess I'm just not buying that Trump's complete moron act is all a 4d chess ploy to manipulate the media. I find it much more likely that he's just a complete moron.


by d2_e4 k

I guess I'm just not buying that Trump's complete moron act is all a 4d chess ploy to manipulate the media. I find it much more likely that he's just a complete moron.

Trump is a moron but like most narcissists he's learned how to expertly manipulate others to feed into his narcissism. Being exceedingly charming is a core trait of the condition.


by borg23 k

You're the one trying to twist ****.

Biden is the one who said he's picking a black woman. Then he picks a black woman who was primary road kill and if people point out she got picked bc she checked those two boxes they're racist and sexist?
Make that make sense.

If a college has one spot left for admission and says "we need to give it to a black female" then gives it to a black female with awful test scores and grades there is nothing racist or sexist about saying she only got in for checking th

yes


The light of America will not always burn bright. What a cliche disproven by like every civilization ever. It's going over the edge for dozens of reasons having nothing to do with this election. It's Pollyanna fantasy unreality. The country is massively in decline across the board. As to chances for righting the ship, elections and leadership do matter.


Whats nuts is globally you guys have grown stronger and more powerful, but, others have also been able to compete and post cold war seems like you werent ready

But in reality your life is much better and fast improving over everyone else in the west. The only ones who's lives are getting better than yours are like Poland and stuff where they are catching up.

Pretty mad.


I wish the UK had american dynamism and drive


by housenuts k

Basically no volume, but market is up.

You would have to be a complete moron to bet on an event that is four years away. There is no way you could have an edge big enough to justify tying up the money. And the odds aren't going to move around enough in the next two years to make trading in and out worth the candle.


by checkraisdraw k

50c is 1:1 odds
25c 2:1 odds
10c 5:1 odds
and just reverse it
75c 1:2 odds
90c 1:5 odds
etc

I’m pretty sure that’s correct based on the bet I made last night

Its implied probability

50c even

25c pays 3-1 4x your money, +300 traditional odds

5c pays 19-1, 20x your money +1900

75c pays 1-3, 33% your money -300


by Polarbear1955 k

Look at her great support during the 2020 Democratic primaries. She got roughly 1%. Yes she is that unpopular. Do not mistake being made VP because she claimed to be black and a woman or being installed by the Democratic elites as their nominee as showing popularity. Indeed the fact the Democrats deliberately waited until after the primaries to install her shows how well they thought she would do in the primaries.

How were Dem party leaders supposed to know that voters wouldn't like someone who had to drop out of a previous primary because voters didn't like her?

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