2024 ELECTION THREAD

2024 ELECTION THREAD

The next presidential race will be here soon! Please see current Bovada odds. Thoughts?

) 5 Views 5
14 July 2022 at 02:28 PM
Reply...

20203 Replies

5
w


by Luciom k

To fill governor vacancies, 45 states have a lieutenant governor who assumes the position. In the remainder, the spot is filled with either the president of the state senate or the secretary of state.
In the House, the chief executive of each state is to call for an election to fill the vacancy, per Article I, Section 2 of the U.S. Constitution.
While the seat is vacant, the office of the former representative remains open and is operated under the Clerk of the House of Representatives.
In the Sena

What happened to gaezt when trump feeds him to the woke and fire him in like 6 months?

He ends up with nothing ?
Might work great in the end for democrats (and I’m sure for many sensible republicans) shrug


by Montrealcorp k

You constantly said democrats or republicans are the same …
Let’s see how it plays out for « brown » people with trump.

The legacy of Trump's 2nd presidency depends on how it plays out for <> people?

what on earth?


by hansmolman k

GOP leadership is working great.

Let's do blue cities thuggin and buggin with a billion gun crimes that keep electing democrat mayors.


by Montrealcorp k

What happened to gaezt when trump feeds him to the woke and fire him in like 6 months?

He ends up with nothing ?
Might work great in the end for democrats (and I’m sure for many sensible republicans) shrug

Gaetz could end up with nothing immediately if not confirmed.

Ofc it's probable they have stuff to put him in where he makes fine money and he is out of the political power picture at 500k or 1m per year


by Montrealcorp k

I though the southern borders was full of criminals immigrants ?
Do Switzerland have the same neighbor ?

Ps: amazing how left leaning policies are so evil and yet many parts of them has such low criminality and high income isn’t ?

Switzerland for decades had signs like "we don't rent to Italians" and "entry forbidden to dogs and Italians" for shops



Switzerland is notoriously xenophobic.


by diebitter k

Just waiting for him to appoint The Joker to be in charge of the FBI and Dr Evil to be in charge of the CIA to keep the entire cabinet/civil service higher ups consistent in the appropriateness of the appointments.

Trump names fracking executive Chris Wright energy secretary


by Victor k

Ive said all along that I dont think Trump will be better. its just that he cant get much worse.

and yes, genocide is a process.

Maybe it's just that stomping your feet and saying no war/not voting actually just leads to even bloodier results like we're about to get. Reality is gray sometimes you have to make a decision between 2 bad options etc. Not participating when it helps the worst of 2 options is effectively the same thing as just voting for them to begin with lol

Trying to place yourself in some special disconnected place is just a fantasy because you're still involved whether you like it or not.


by natediggity k

Let's do blue cities thuggin and buggin with a billion gun crimes that keep electing democrat mayors.

How do we "do" blue cities in the context of that graphic? Boston is a blue city... and?


by wet work k

Maybe it's just that stomping your feet and saying no war/not voting actually just leads to even bloodier results like we're about to get. Reality is gray sometimes you have to make a decision between 2 bad options etc. Not participating when it helps the worst of 2 options is effectively the same thing as just voting for them to begin with lol

Trying to place yourself in some special disconnected place is just a fantasy because you're still involved whether you like it or not.

If the game doesn't repeat, it's as you say.

If the game repeats you can hope your decision today affects the future political offer, one of the 2 parties might decide there is enough people like you that they gain by being less pro war.

If a party is for 50 % capital income tax rates, and another for 45%, you can't really blame someone who thinks capital income tax rates should be absolutely 0 and it's a moral horror to even discuss them if they don't vote for either. They just have to hope enough people agree, and the 45% party drops their love for capital income tax rates if they want to ever win an election again.

You might have a point if it was one party at 50 the other at 15.


The last 4yrs our country did have less war than the trump years lol Selling/giving arms abroad is not being at war and trump did that too anyway.

Some variables being close doesn't mean all are. The argument you used also applies to many Ls who vote R on taxes/economy(ultimately small % diffs) while getting all of the social conservatism many despise btw


by campfirewest k

If that's what helps you guys cope, then by all means cope away.

I don't live in a red state but I can sympathize with why these people are so angry, but they will be perpetually behind productive America until they change their whole culture. I said that about rurals and other conservative populations well before the election.


by ecriture d'adulte k

I don't live in a red state but I can sympathize with why these people are so angry, but they will be perpetually behind productive America until they change their whole culture. I said that about rurals and other conservative populations well before the election.

You talk like if democrats got 80% of the vote from people earning 200k+. They got 51% according to exit polls, 45% voted republican.

If you account for the fake jobs invented (or grotesquely increased in number) through regulation, DEI and so on, among real income sources linked to real wealth generation which would exist absent government thumbs on the scale, republicans are the majority int he 200k+ income bracket.

Democrats also won the under 30k income bracket.

I wonder if we will ever have voting data for STEM degree holders, just to check them as well.


by Luciom k

I wonder if we will ever have voting data for STEM degree holders, just to check them as well.

If Trump got more than something like 25% of the STEM degree holder vote, I'll eat my ****ing shoe.


by d2_e4 k

If Trump got more than something like 25% of the STEM degree holder vote, I'll eat my ****ing shoe.

I would tend to think that engineer types would be Trumpy.


by Luckbox Inc k

I would tend to think that engineer types would be Trumpy.

Really? Why?


by d2_e4 k

Really? Why?

Based on the personalities of the people who tend to pursue engineering. Not sure I could articulate it much further at least not without some coffee and perhaps some research.

I think there has been stuff on MBTI and political preference so I'll try to find it.


by d2_e4 k

If Trump got more than something like 25% of the STEM degree holder vote, I'll eat my ****ing shoe.

I would guess it's around 2:1. We'll have to wait for the detailed analysis which can take months, but Trump was always losing non college degree holders by double digits and his small improvements seem likely to be coming from non college minorities. I also think STEM degrees skew very slightly to better schools so that probably hurts Trump. Like I'm sure he gets less than 10% of Quantum Field Theorists because 50% of them have a degree from a set of 5 schools which skew pretty liberal. And you've have to be crazy to understand quantum field theory and think trump is qualified and might do a decent job.


by wet work k

Maybe it's just that stomping your feet and saying no war/not voting actually just leads to even bloodier results like we're about to get. Reality is gray sometimes you have to make a decision between 2 bad options etc. Not participating when it helps the worst of 2 options is effectively the same thing as just voting for them to begin with lol

Trying to place yourself in some special disconnected place is just a fantasy because you're still involved whether you like it or not.

the fantasy is trying to act like Trump or anyone could be non-negligibly worse. this is bc you are likely ignorant of what is actually going in West Asia and the USA's role in it.

if the choice was super Pol Pot vs regular Pol Pot then what? anyway theres a meme about this sort of 1% expected candidate but we probably are not allowed to link it.


by d2_e4 k

If Trump got more than something like 25% of the STEM degree holder vote, I'll eat my ****ing shoe.

It's probably more than 50%, actually I would bet significant amounts of money it's more than 50% if we had a way to settle it conclusively.

He got more than 40% from people with a degree, and unless you think people with a degree in psychology or human science garbage or sociology or whatever love trump, then it's STEM that is getting to vote on the right more than the human resource ladies with crappy degrees


by d2_e4 k

Really? Why?

Men are inherently rightwing, math based fields attract relatively more men, that alone makes STEM inherently rightwing compared to other degrees, in current politics.


by ecriture d'adulte k

I would guess it's around 2:1. We'll have to wait for the detailed analysis which can take months, but Trump was always losing non college degree holders by double digits and his small improvements seem likely to be coming from non college minorities. I also think STEM degrees skew very slightly to better schools so that probably hurts Trump. Like I'm sure he gets less than 10% of Quantum Field Theorists because 50% of them have a degree from a set of 5 schools which skew pretty liberal. And

So democrats win college degree graduates say 56-44, STEM 66-33 according to your guess?

So which fields have republicans doing a lot better to average that? Crappy degrees from tier 3-4 schools that leave you in debt with terrible job prospects?so you think those break more favourably toward Trump than toward the candidate that wanted to save their stupid asses with student loan forfeiture?

Yoh know programmers, surgeons and engineers are more rightwing than the average college degree holder which includes the trash degrees that all skew left dramatically


by Luciom k

So democrats win college degree graduates say 56-44, STEM 66-33 according to your guess?

So which fields have republicans doing a lot better to average that? Crappy degrees from tier 3-4 schools that leave you in debt with terrible job prospects?so you think those break more favourably toward Trump than toward the candidate that wanted to save their stupid asses with student loan forfeiture?

Yoh know programmers, surgeons and engineers are more rightwing than the average college degree holder whic

Trump is probably making up for lack of stem votes from the art and lit majors and sociologists.


by Luckbox Inc k

Trump is probably making up for lack of stem votes from the art and lit majors and sociologists.

Those are supposedly the smart people in the room, making claims that are absolutely indefensible all the times on the numbers and the logic.

All because they live in little all-democrat (at least on the outside) bubbles among people with high incomes, they think that generalizes to all society.

They suck at the tits of government in make-believe jobs that mostly wouldn't exist if government regulation didn't mandate them, or government free money press didn't pay for them, and they think everyone smart is like them.


by Luciom k

Those are supposedly the smart people in the room, making claims that are absolutely indefensible all the times on the numbers and the logic.

All because they live in little all-democrat (at least on the outside) bubbles among people with high incomes, they think that generalizes to all society.

They suck at the tits of government in make-believe jobs that mostly wouldn't exist if government regulation didn't mandate them, or government free money press didn't pay for them, and they think everyone

Lol you literally had to be explained how people write a Gaussian and last time we talked about polling you had no idea how exit polling works and presented as a fact it months after it had been disproven because you're innumerate. High school students in no rural areas can already do this and explain it to you. Just because nobody presumes you are even average doesn't mean you can say whatever you want.

Reply...