NCAA FOOTBALL 2024 MEGA THREAD - WELCOME TO THE PLAYOFF ERA
Just 8 days until Florida State plays Georgia Tech!
A lot happened while you were away:
Texas and Oklahoma joined the SEC
The Pac-12 went out in a blaze of glory:
Oregon, Washington, USC and UCLA are headed to the B1G
Utah, Arizona, Arizona State and Colorado are headed to the B12
Cal and Stanford along with SMU are somehow headed to the ACC
Poor old Wazzu and Oregon State are now aligned with the MWC in some sort of in-flux relationship
The conferences are huge now, and the schedules are wildly imbalanced. Florida might have the hardest schedule in the history of the sport, while Missouri's playing a sun-belt slate.
FSU and Clemson play each other, but then play ZERO common ACC opponents
Utah/Baylor and Arizona/Kansas State play non-conference games against conference opponents
LSU and USC play in Vegas!
Boise goes to Oregon, a team they've never lost to!
Texas at Michigan!
Alabama at Wisconsin!
Notre Dame at ATM!
Clemson vs Georgia!
And there are some incredibly juicy new conference matchups:
Texas @ ATM is back!
Texas vs Georgia
Oregon vs Ohio State
USC @ Michigan
USC vs Penn State
And then the bizarre:
UCLA @ Rutgers is now a conference game
Syracuse plays home and away against Cal and Stanford for some reason
Half the teams have new coaches, transferred quarterbacks, or both!
Let's get it on!
overall it seems like the usual ahole teams will make it into the CFP playoffs....with one exception, but otherwise nothing ever changes.
So, with that in mind, LFG AZ St. Sun Devils! And let's make Jake Plummer (RIP) proud!
Just guessing what the committee will do
They've been really heavy on sort by losses all year
Would be a bad precident to take a team that is safely in the playoffs, multiple slots ahead of the bubble, then force them to play a CCG where they then lose on a 55 yard walk off field goal as time expires in a game where they clearly ran bad, then dropping them for playing that game.
CCGs should be a reward, not a punishment
If you get absolutely run off the field, that's one thing, but losing as close as you can possible lose won't be it
I think the committee / media / illuminati wanted to put Bama in with a Clemson win, but they basically said "unless SMU keeps it really close" to make it appear fair, but then SMU actually did go and lose as close as you can lose, so now they just gotta live with it
12 Clemson
@
5 Arizona State
11 Boise State
@
6 Tennessee
10 Indiana
@
7 Alabama
9 Ohio State
@
8 Ole Miss
...
4. South Carolina
3. Georgia
2. Oregon
1. Texas
Let's not forget how super cool it is to win at Wisconsin though!
1 Oregon
8 Ohio State / 9 Tennessee
4 ASU
5 Texas / 12 Clemson
2 Georgia
7 Notre Dame / 10 Indiana
3 Boise State
6 Penn State / 11 SMU
12 Clemson
@
5 Arizona State
11 Boise State
@
6 Tennessee
10 Indiana
@
7 Alabama
9 Ohio State
@
8 Ole Miss
...
4. South Carolina
3. Georgia
2. Oregon
1. Texas
What is this?
My post is the correct seeding. It is not a prediction. It's just what is obviously correct
Gonna bet against SEC every game in the playoffs and make so much money
overall it seems like the usual ahole teams will make it into the CFP playoffs....with one exception, but otherwise nothing ever changes.
So, with that in mind, LFG AZ St. Sun Devils! And let's make Jake Plummer (RIP) proud!
What are you talking about? Penn State's never there, Smu was in the AAC *last year*, Boise isn't even in the AAC yet, and no one's even heard of an Indiana before! This is like mind-melting "let's let some mediocre team luckbox it" stuff!
It might actually be Clemson getting in over Bama, and not SMU. Would it be that surprising if SMU was 11 and Clemson was 12?
I guess it is all about optics though. Regardless of how the rankings shake out for SMU/Clemson, it is going to look like SMU took the spot from Bama because SMU lost in the CCG.
Clemson is in regardless. They get an auto bid winning the acc. They won’t get a bye obviously. And they’ll be seeded above smu. Smu is gonna get the 12 seed
I have no inside knowledge, or special insight.
I think SMU gets rat****ed, and Bama gets in.
Blue bloods and money always wins.
1 Oregon
8 Ohio State / 9 Tennessee
4 ASU
5 Texas / 12 Clemson
2 Georgia
7 Notre Dame / 10 Indiana
3 Boise State
6 Penn State / 11 SMU
i was gonna put my life savings on Bama making it but now i that i see a sharp bettor thinks SMU makes it i might only put a few hundred bucks, I still think Bama makes it.
It might actually be Clemson getting in over Bama, and not SMU. Would it be that surprising if SMU was 11 and Clemson was 12?
I guess it is all about optics though. Regardless of how the rankings shake out for SMU/Clemson, it is going to look like SMU took the spot from Bama because SMU lost in the CCG.
Clemson is in regardless. They get an auto bid winning the acc. They won’t get a bye obviously. And they’ll be seeded above smu. Smu is gonna get the 12 seed
Clemson 11 seed makes no sense cause now committee is not only saying that a 2-loss SMU (with one of the losses being CCG) > 3-loss Bama but also that a 3-loss Clemson who has 1 top-30 win is > 3-loss Bama who has 4 top-30 wins.
I have no inside knowledge, or special insight.
I think SMU gets rat****ed, and Bama gets in.
Blue bloods and money always wins.
This is where I think I’m at
Rat****ing always wins in the end with the CFP. I just have a hard time believing any scenario exists where if the choice is between smu, Bama or Miami that SMU is the one that gets in if the CFP clownshow is the one deciding
I think the more compelling story is did Miami’s politicking sway voters to give them the spot over Bama. The only thing I feel like is known is SMU isn’t getting in
SMU will be in and Bama out. The committee has no opportunity to leave SMU out and still have credibility after what they have said about conference championship games.
SMU odds also surging on sportsbooks, seeing -670 now
If SMU is out, it sets a horrible precedent with regards to CCGs. Obviously they'd love to rat**** anyone and everyone to allow BAMA in, but punishing SMU for making the CCG and then losing by a hair is so, so bad.
If SMU is out, it sets a horrible precedent with regards to CCGs. Obviously they'd love to rat**** anyone and everyone to allow BAMA in, but punishing SMU for making the CCG and then losing by a hair is so, so bad.
There’s precedent for rat****ing teams who make a CCG to let Bama in. Why would they about face now?
Clemson is currently +220 to be the 12 seed on FD which seems absolutely batshit. Decent limits.
A little worried since it seems like something may have leaked, SMU is now -1000 to be in the playoff and texas is -1600 to be the 5 seed which seems extraordinarily high
I maxed it out regardless, +220 for something I think should be a lock (minus the fact that I'm worried about a leak) seems crazy
