Trump 2nd term prediction thread
So, looks like Trump not only smashed the electoral college, but is looking on track to win the popular vote, which seems to be an unexpected turn of events, but a clear sign of the current temperature in the country and perhaps the wider world.
Would be interested to hear views on how his 2nd term will pan out from both sides of the aisle - major happenings, what he's going to get done, what he's not going to get done, the impact of his election on the current conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, whether his popularity will remain the same, wane, or increase, etc.
A bit of an anemic OP, I know, just interested to hear people's thoughts now that the election uncertainty is over.
I consider myself a regular investor. I would much prefer buy backs. Why? The value of my investment goes up and I still control the timing of realizing my profit.
Maybe it goes up , but some share holders will profits way more then you when in reality they shouldn’t .
So regular stock holder (which I would consider you aren’t ) gets fack over over the long term .
Dividends mitigate that .
Okay "buybacks" can't be simplified or categorized into one basket as far as whether they are humble or sincere or whatever tf is being argued. It's just another option.
A lot of the monstrous companies - tech and oil, the 50b + companies have done share repurchasing after covid because they felt that their company was undervalued enough for them to put their cash to better use. Often times, when those buybacks happen, or when someone like Buffett makes a large purchase, it's usually wise to fo
Regardless being a big corporations or not , share buybacks are in general bad especially since the last decade .
What big corporations do is borrowing cheaply (thx the fed keeping almost 0% interest rates ) against their markets value and just do buyback shares at all time highs prices .
Then the next year market cap is even higher , can borrow more and repeat .
No value is created , on the contrary it fragilize the company and markets in general .
That isn’t good.
Btw buyback shares , uses massive amount of capital -> capital that could be reinvested in the economy through dividends, workers pays , capex , etc .
Instead all they do is buying back shares with contribute absolutely 0 in the economy because shares going up doesn’t help growing gdp .
Not to mention companies getting to big (like banks) forced the government/fed to bailed them out because it would create too much damage to the economy aka 2008.
I could keep go on and on .
It’s massive amount of money that contributes 0 to the economy , and makes it even harder for the majority of people not being able to invest or very little invest due too incredibly high stock prices .
i think the last 10 years 40% of the value of the stock market is just stocks buybacks ..
Pretty good summary imho
https://www.forbes.com/sites/petergeorge...
Ps: I’m leaving out fraud , market manipulation , creative financing , banks lending to those corporations instead lending to Better use for producing something , management has massive advantages being able to profits way more from options vs retailers , it prevent or skews market price discovery , etc .
Like buffet days , stock buybacks should be almost a last resort while
Today it’s a first resort , buying at all time
High at like 20-30 p/e .
Insiders will know when to sell , letting the **** bad to « regular investors »….
There is a reason previously share buybacks was illegal for a very long time …
But people forget and thinks they are mix more smarter then their predecessors.
Same concept wth deregulations ….
All in the name of greed replacing good long term corporate management .
This movie is so true and this clip is what happen again and again
Ps: I mean at least if government would stop bailing them out In the first place but now they got everything, bailing out , artificially low interest rates , tax cuts , QE, etc .
It’s a freakn joke at the expense of the middle class and the poor and then I hear -> the left and socialism is evil ? Lol….
Why you think share buybacks was illegal for a very long time when they finally changed it ?
You don’t think today with the creativity existing in finance , manipulating stock prices isn’t a thing ?
because they wanted to steal money with taxation of dividends in excess to what they already stole from corporate profits directly.
you're the one that picked a fight with Zuckerberg
and then pussied out when he accepted the challenge
I doubt he's here reading this thread.
They're using the threat of lawsuits to silence their critics,
mute damning facts about his cabinet nominees,
and pave the road to a state-controlled media.
President-elect's lawyers and allies issue warnings to news media over coverage
especially intended to intimidate the news media and others who have
criticized Trump or his selections to run the Defense Department and FBI
sux for the rural diehards (and many others, ldo)
Trump Is About to Betray His Rural Supporters
Small-town America voted heavily in his favor—but the policies he’s pledged won’t reward that faith.
The bruising trade conflicts of Trump’s first term encouraged foreign purchasers of American farm products to diversify their supply in order to be less vulnerable to future trade disruptions, Sandro Steinbach, the director of the Center for Agricultural Policy and Trade Studies at North Dakota State University, told me.
As a result of Trump’s trade conflicts, Steinbach said, the United States lost share in those markets and never recovered it. In 2016, for example, the U.S. sold nearly as many soybeans to China as Brazil did; now Brazil controls three times as much of the Chinese market. “China is demanding more commodities” but is buying them from other suppliers, Steinbach said, “and that means we left a lot of money on the table.”
Stock buyback are prone to market manipulation and isn’t productive at all .
You don’t agree ?
I don’t understand why you think corporations would be shield of making massive evaluation mistake about buying their shares at too high prices when everyone else or entities of the world cannot be that good ?
Stock buyback are prone to market manipulation and isn’t productive at all .
You don’t agree ?
I don’t understand why you think corporations would be shield of making massive evaluation mistake about buying their shares at too high prices when everyone else or entities of the world cannot be that good ?
In what way do you think this is related to the post you quoted?
They're using the threat of lawsuits to silence their critics,
mute damning facts about his cabinet nominees,
and pave the road to a state-controlled media.
President-elect's lawyers and allies issue warnings to news media over coverage
especially intended to intimidate the news media and others who have
criticized Trump or his selections to run the Defense Department and FBI
I guess its simple don't make up lies about Trump on the news which good old George did . 😀
Making the USPS a private type of entity is just incorrect and wouldn't work. For obvious reasons. 70% of this country is still rural
Because stock buyback became illegal in the 1934s after the crash of 1929 ?
And the reason was mostly to prevent market manipulation (for good or bad reason) .
Of course Reagan made it legal again and Wall Street was happy with more transactions being operated .
If you were not talking about this then I misunderstood you .
I.m curious what you guys think about truth social (the trump twitter as I understand).
Shouldn't he (Trump) and all governement officials stop using it after january transition?
Or is it fine is USA?
Former FBI informant pleads guilty to fabricating Biden claims
Smirnov had relayed to the FBI that the head of the Ukrainian energy company
Burisma told him he had paid both President Biden and his son Hunter Biden $5 million.
In court documents, Smirnov admitted to providing “false derogatory information” about the president and his son.
https://thehill.com/homenews/administrat...
They’re going to shut down the government before they even
take it over. It’s going to be a very long and very stupid four years.
Trump taps Herschel Walker for ambassador to the Bahamas
What you basically argued was - this used to be illegal so it should be illegal again. I don't think that's a standard we want to apply to things. Now, if you want to argue it was a mistake to make it legal and this is why, that's completely different. Then there's a discussion to be had.
Sounds like when Hitler went after Austria in the early days of ww2.
This family bit is ridiculous
