2024 Fantasy Football Thread
2024 Fantasy Football Thread
8
zs

2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Welcome to the 2024 fantasy season, where I'm officially addicted to best ball. I've been drafting since the end of Jan

25 April 2024 at 04:46 PM
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12544 Replies

8
zs


He’s in 1st!


That is insane.

Meanwhile, I got ****ing wrecked this week like you lol.


Sure could've used Kittle in this game, but I've still got a 2-3 outs to hopefully move up some.

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I’m in 7th in the 4Q w/o Henry, but I’m out of players so I’ll likely drop

Everything else has gone horribly and I went to Hawks vs Penguins tonight and got to watch the hawks lose 7-3 haha

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I am basically min cashing my 5 finals. Then wrecked in my 8 man going for the 3peat.

Have a dynasty final where I was a 30 point favorite and up against Henry. It's going to be close. I'm down 8 with Puka/London vs Stafford/Kyren in PPR.

Another dynasty final where I was a 20 point favorite and up against Henry. This one will also be close. I'm down 70 with Stafford, Puka, Kyren, and Pitts while he's done in .5 PPR.

Probably can't win both with the player distribution. I'd prefer to win the one with Puka/London.


I've realized where I ****ed up.

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So I can't get how UD does their payouts. Is this accurate, or would it be less since they do that partial payout thing after each round?

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Less, they pay out the min-cash for making the round, so you only will now get the incremental amount over the min-cash


First time with this start

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Edit: an ******* took darnold as his 3rd qb and ruined this


Down 20.12 with Bijan in 0.5ppr in my only finals. Don't love the matchup but Bijan's one of the few players you can believe you actually have a chance to get there.


Congrats if you have Kyren. I feel like he smashes tonight.


Well, I said I wasn’t gonna play much playoff best ball and then I maxed the mitten haha

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Good luck!

Pete is crashing out on his stream this morning. Obviously a lot of it is bit humor, but you can feel the underlying tilt lol.


I'm halfway there at 75. Hopefully getting to at least 100, and will try for 150.


by tarheels2222 m

Good luck!

Pete is crashing out on his stream this morning. Obviously a lot of it is bit humor, but you can feel the underlying tilt lol.

He had me cracking up haha


I did some spike week analysis for weeks 15-17, obviously still pending tonight's game.

The ADPs you see are UD's from Hayden's final season long rankings posted on 8/25. Some of the guys on this had some pretty big fluctuations from start to finish, but I didn't consider that for this exercise. So that is some added nuance.

The scores you see are from Fantasy Pros. I used .5 PPR.

Some observations:

QBs -

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This was not the year for elite QBs. Allen, Burrow, and Hurts all had top 12 scores throughout, but none of them were the guys you really needed. The middle round guys smashed with Trevor, Purdy, Maye, Goff (RIP w17 lol), Nix, Caleb, and Dak showing up in multiple weeks. Add on multiple weeks from Stafford and Dart, the elite QBs really took a hit. Stafford could show up in all 3 weeks, depending on tonight.

3 undrafted guys show up on the list, which further enhances the way I think backups should be drafted at the end of superflex drafts. You should never expect those guys to show up on 1QB lineups, though, they might be on some DK lineups lol. With how many zeros there are in the last few rounds, I might do more handcuffing. It can't really be that bad to draft Willis in the 20th round on a Love team in superflex.

Overall, I think in the long run if you bet on the middle and late round guys compared to the elite guys, you'll probably be +ev given opportunity cost of the top 5-6 rounds.

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RBs -

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I went through RB24 but really only the top 8-12 actually matter. These RBs largely came from the top 100 (or just outside) in ADP. A few undrafted or very low drafted guys on the list too, further consolidating what you actually needed from the top 100 guys. I think pure zero RB is mostly a dead strategy in the current NFL meta. With that said, I think by the end of draft season, I was playing too RB heavy resulting in the bad WR exposures I posted above. There is a balance, but I think you always want at least 1 RB through the first 3-4 rounds and ideally at least 3 by round 10 or so. On the same token, I think you always want at least 1 WR through the first 3-4 rounds with 4-5 by round 10 or so.

Henry didn't even make the w15 list. Rasheen Ali actually outscored him 10.2 vs 10.

ADP will drive things, but I think for 2026 best ball season, I'm going to have a lot of early RB/WR builds that end up 3-5-7-3 or 3-6-8-3.

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WRs -

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I went through WR36, but really you probably needed 3 in the top 24 to have a chance of advancing/winning. Or if not, you at least needed Puka, Olave, and maybe Chase. Some really rough scores from W17, like holy **** some of the guys on this list lol. Outside of Puka and London, probably won't be a ton of further shakeup tonight. A few others like Mooney, Sills, Mumpfield, Tutu, etc. could crack it, but they won't really matter. I guess Mooney could. Sherman still has Mooney haha.

These scores are kind of all over the place, which I think sums up WR scoring variance in .5 PPR. You really need yardage + TDs to truly matter in any given week. Mostly a theme of guys in the top 100 ADP, and mostly top 75 ADP, for weeks 15 and 16. Hard to take away a lot from the week 17 data. Though, two rookies do show up in the top 12. I do wish I hadn't let the community take lock me out of drafting Watson. Still crazy how fast he returned from the ACL injury, but he has one of the best spike week ceilings in the league and he was free and almost purely unowned for most of draft season. Instead I was drafting guys like Ray-Ray McCloud, Josh Reynolds, and Calvin Austin. Good strategy, dipshit.

Probably need to diversify more into total WR rooms. For instance, I was on a lot of Dyami and no Parker Washington. The Jags were one of my highest drafted teams too, so really need to lean into all potential players when I really like the team, especially when paired with Lawrence. The same goes for taking Ayomanor a lot more than Dike, but I also wasn't that into the Titans, with good reason.

M. Wilson and Wan'Dale were the main late round guys you wanted. QJ too. I'm glad I kept clicking him, even after the Keenan signing.

Godwin finally got there too. I should have also stayed open to Jalen McMillan. I really liked him in pre-draft. He was one of my highest drafted players. Then the Egbuka pick plus the neck injury pushed me completely off by the end of draft season. That WR room is going to be a mess to figure out if Evans re-signs, which I expect him to.

JSN was kind of a disapointment for how much he carried teams this year. ARSB too with duds in weeks 16 and 17, though he helped in week 15.

Another thing I want to really consider for WRs is the impact of stacking, especially with other WRs from the same team. For instance, if Nabers doesn't blow out his knee, what does Wan'Dale's season look like? So was it actually good to draft those 2 together, the Nabers injury notwithstanding?

The same goes for M. Wilson with MHJ and even Kyler. Does he perform this way with either of those guys healthy?

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TEs -

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Really a bunch of nonsense outside of McBride this week. Loveland was obviously good, but not like he had a great season overall. Kittle was going to matter a lot this week if he played. Chig showing up in multiple weeks is hilarious. I'm terrified of the Fannin price for 2026 draft season. A lot of high scores in week 15, with 5 scoring 20+. Only one 20+ score combined in weeks 16 and 17, pending tonight.

TEs 4-14 in ADP just absolutely burried us for the most part, though a few of them did have solid stretches at various points this year. LaPorta, Hock, Warren, Kelce, Andrews, Engram, Loveland, Kraft, Njoku, Kincaid, Ferg. That is a theme that has persisted from prior data evaluation. The TEs in those middle rounds after the elite tier typically seem to underperform, whether it's from injury, scoring under expectation, etc.

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Ship Chasing streaming Sam’s sweat at 8. If I had that sweat, I think I’d turn my phone off and go touch grass for 3.5 hours and just check the results once it’s over lol.


I need 23.45 points from Puka to win

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His projected score is 23.44


by g-bebe m

Down 20.12 with Bijan in 0.5ppr in my only finals. Don't love the matchup but Bijan's one of the few players you can believe you actually have a chance to get there.

Nice getting there with time left in the 2Q. Bijan rocks.


by tarheels2222 m

Ship Chasing streaming Sam’s sweat at 8. If I had that sweat, I think I’d turn my phone off and go touch grass for 3.5 hours and just check the results once it’s over lol.

I had a milly masters sweat 2 years ago (ended up 10th I think), but it was one of the most excruciating watches of all time. I think Morikawa bogeyed 18 and cost me like $20K haha.

Turning off the phone and keeping busy is definitely the move


Holy **** that puka call back haha


Shaidy is leading the Husky 2 thanks to Bijan.

Meanwhile, I'm going to min cash all 5 best ball finals, lose all 3 managed finals, and I have the highest score in the league in the third place game in my only other matchup that matters.

What a great week 17!


Just trying to hold my very small 4Q profit

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Sherman is on the verge. Really needs to fade a big Puka play and OT.


That miss by stafford was huge

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