2024 ELECTION THREAD

maybe, maybe not NV/AZ aren't as red as I thought they'd be at this point, D's can still win the house. A handful of senate seats still can go either way cause Trump is outperforming R's.

100%

The combination math if the 7 swing states decided things were that a parlay with PA created a lock. If Trump wins PA, NC & GA then he wins. If Harris wins PA, WI, MI she wins. PA is the key. Trump doesn't magically win it all with only NC and GA.

legit will never see a silent vote against the poll vote like how strong it is with trump, its been 3 elections of him polling better than everyone thinks lol

I think Harris has a better chance at winning MI than PA tho at this point, city also the last 15% of PA votes are all in blue county

Bill Ackman is *on fire*

Bill Ackman
@BillAckman
If the election outcome is as I expected, it should cause the large minority of the country who supported
@KamalaHarris
and predicted her victory to begin to question their sources of truth.

Half the country has believed that
@X
is filled with mis- and disinformation, and that they could only therefore rely on The NY Times, MSNBC, CNN and other mainstream media for their news. And they did.

If, however, you have been active on
@X
for the last year, you have known the truth days, weeks and often months before the facts appear in the MSM.

The MSM excerpted, clipped and cut to defame
@realDonaldTrump
while claiming that
@JoeBiden
was fit as a fiddle. Then when Biden’s polls collapsed,
@KamalaHarris
was anointed the candidate and her hagiography was written with glowing acclaim from the press. But this could not hold as she ducked the media and held fast to the teleprompter.

Citizen journalists with their phone cameras in hand captured the real Kamala forcing her to defend her record and her plans in more media appearances. It did not go well and the public demanded to learn more so
@KamalaHarris
had to risk more unscripted media.

The doom loop was underway with perhaps 60 Minutes as one of the more dramatic examples, even after CBS tried to save her, most glaringly by excerpting one answer to replace a word salad response to another. But the citizen journalists on
@X
quickly caught and outed this fraud and demanded a transcript.

As many who supported Kamala began to realize that they have been misled, they became open to Trump as an alternative, but they didn’t want to rely on the media to understand him because they did not want to be misled again.

They wanted to hear the candidate in his own words and that is where
@lexfridman
and
@joeroganhq
long form podcasts came to the rescue. When Kamala was offered the same opportunities to explain herself, she rejected them. And the voting public could only draw a negative inference.

When the story of this election is written, I expect it will be as much about how half of America woke up to the reality that they have been manipulated by the media. This should lead to an abandonment by many of the MSM as their primary source of information. It will push more people to
@X
, to podcasts and other empirical sources, and it will lead to a more informed public.

The other outcome I hope happens is the implosion of the Democratic Party. The Party lied to the American people about the cognitive health and fitness of the president. It prevented, threatened, litigated and otherwise eliminated the ability of other candidates for the primary to compete, to get on ballots, and to even participate in a debate. The Party and the administration used lawfare in an attempt to imprison, bankrupt or otherwise kill off Trump as a candidate. These acts are collectively grave threats to our democracy. With the highest irony in order to hide these acts, the Party accused the opposition candidate of being the grave threat to democracy.

The Democratic Party proved itself to be fundamentally undemocratic. It needs a complete reboot. The leadership should be thrown out and those responsible should apologize to the American people.

Honest Abe said it best:

You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can not fool all of the people all of the time.

I agree. When they first decided on her I thought they were absolutely cooked. She did better than I thought and wasn't nearly as bad as I thought. I think she could be a fine President.

I got flamed and blocked for saying he'd win every swing state haha

I could have sworn that certain valuable posters in this forum wrote something along the lines of Harris being the "best candidate the Dems have fielded in the last thirty years other than Bill Clinton and Obama." The televised results must be lying to me!

Also, massive lol at calling Harris overqualified. This was a weak candidate from the get-go, and to claim otherwise is just delusional. Without the horrendous handling of Biden's declining mental competency, we could have had an actual Democratic primary that may have yielded an actual viable candidate. Now we get Trump for four more years. Enjoy!

I mean, I'm a white guy who makes a high salary and has massive crypto bags so I'm going to be fine no matter what but this is pretty awful for our country.

Memes wont change that

Sample size as you say.

Clinton or Harris might have done as well as Biden if they have followed trump being in charge instead of the challenger. That was probably a much easier win

Pretty much, yes.

Doesn't trump win with NV + AZ + NC + GA vs PA + WI + MI for Harris?

Let's see when the dust settles, if Tim Walz was indeed the right VP pick as well.

polling industry is in trouble

think about what sort of freak weirdo would respond to a poll in 2024..such people are not normal

that is their entire data set

I think given tonight none of that lot win. "it's the economy stupid" looks like the difference to me but maybe they do a little better. Not in the southeast though obv.

no if everything else holds 270 harris 268 trump with that

I will say this, if Trump wins I'll bet money the bullshit war in Ukraine is wrapped up inside of 6 months.

I’m working and trying to follow along. What are the current odds?

could be leaving money on the table though

ah ok thx

"You get what you ****ing deserve, Murray"

No Trump loses 268 to Harris 270

you are ****ing trolling or making things up

if if what yousay is correct those users need banned and sent to unstuck