President Donald Trump
I assume it's still acceptable to have a Trump thread in a Politics forum?
So this is an obvious lie - basically aimed at
You could become Victor's best friend just by supporting dropping nukes on Tel-Aviv and Jersusalem.
no I think Palestine should be free. not destroyed. ofc, we know with the Samson option that if the Settler Jewish State is ever on the verge of defeat that they have a policy to use nukes.
Israel too. I doubt that Gorg would ever criticize the genocidal settler colonial appendage of the White Euro Empire..
brother he literally had zero posts condemning Israel before that one. and I made my post before he made that one. do you understand how time works?
“I doubt he would ever” also includes future statements. You didn’t say “I doubt he has ever” you said you “doubt he would ever”. Thus any future statements criticizing Israel also counts to falsify your view, not just past statements.
“I doubt he would ever” also includes future statements. You didn’t say “I doubt he has ever” you said you “doubt he would ever”. Thus any future statements criticizing Israel also counts to falsify your view, not just past statements.
He's such an idiot. I've already explained how I don't like discussing war with warmongers. I stay out of that stuff. I'm here to crap on Trump and talk about medical stuff, frankly. You can distract me with 9/11 and moon landing stuff pretty easily, too, but those are the reasons I'm here.
I probably don't have any posts about not breaking spaghetti in half, but I have pretty strong feelings about that, too. (and spare me the "did he just compare literal genocide to breaking spaghetti" - no idiot I didn't).
Oh and another thing: I tend to not post about things I feel like I'm not educated enough for my opinion to matter about. It's not an area I'm strong in, so I tend to leave it for others. That's called knowing my limitations. Some here should try that some time.
that kind of coincidence is not real
you're both gone at the same time for extended periods of come back within a few posts of each other, responding directly to each other
let's say it is true that you genuinely don't believe it is, then it's a tyler durden situation here - because there's just zero chance that is not you
Is this some sort of effort at trolling? There is no way that you actually believe gorgonian and BJ are the same person.
He has casually dropped it a couple of times and I thought he was just trolling me, but it does appear he legitimately believed it. I can certainly understand the feeling that Brian James wasn't a real person, but it's pretty freaking stupid to think I was doing that as some elaborate hoax. BJ legitimately made me so sick to my stomach I had trouble sleeping sometimes.
gorg it's an assymetric bet with assymetric infoyou either know i'm wrong, or you know you covered your tracks enough that an ip check couldn't prove it - the evidence is still damning, you two disapearing together and coming back together, along with his obvious alt account behavior is very damning, even if you did cover your tracks well enough to survive an ip checkyou gettin
One worthless excuse after the next.

There’s a bet on Polymarket:
Trump out before 2027 …
All reasons valid (death, resign, impeached, etc)
Odds are below 10% now … how do you guys think about this? Opportunity or not?
I'd say so slightly. Heavily weighted towards death/resignation due to health.
He’s old/I’ll for sure.
But also think there’s a good chance if Dems take house and senate in November, they’ll bury him with investigations, and maybe he’ll resign for a deal then (no prosecution, good for the country, bla bla)
I put down a small amount … 10/1 is not bad
He’s old/I’ll for sure.
But also think there’s a good chance if Dems take house and senate in November, they’ll bury him with investigations, and maybe he’ll resign for a deal then (no prosecution, good for the country, bla bla)
I put down a small amount … 10/1 is not bad
Thats 6.5 months away. Id imagine the bulk of that is an unexpected illness. Personally if I had to take that bet id take the other side for sure.
...i mean it isnt the low efficiency bet of "is the earth flat at 2%" by dec 31 but those high return bets are often overpriced for the buyers.
yeah i'd much rather be on the 90% side
In general it's profitable to bet No on everything on polymarket. People have put out data. The public overvalues Yes.
Rather than betting on it, I'm more interested in the market and seeing public perception and where the money is at. It's fairly liquid too, like $8m. That's reasonable information.
Its not that exciting a market to bet on. For the no side you're locking up money for 7 months for small return. Yes side could return you money as soon as tomorrow, but unlikely. I'd be interested in Yes at like 3c or No around 70c.
Trump comparing his war with Iran to Vietnam and doubling down that he doesn’t care about American finances caused by the war. What a bozo.
Trump comparing his war with Iran to Vietnam and doubling down that he doesn’t care about American finances caused by the war. What a bozo.
The President is obviously prioritizing military and strategic goals over short-term economic impacts. I can see how the average American could misconstrue that statement as being non caring.
Trump needs to get bone spurs for Iran.
In general it's profitable to bet No on everything on polymarket. People have put out data. The public overvalues Yes.Rather than betting on it, I'm more interested in the market and seeing public perception and where the money is at. It's fairly liquid too, like $8m. That's reasonable information. Its not that exciting a market to bet on. For the no side you're locking up mone
Yes at 3c is never gonna happen … every time he’s out of the public even for 2 days („dentist etc“), the price spikes
With all the bruises he has, there’s lots of speculation on his health
In general it's profitable to bet No on everything on polymarket. People have put out data. The public overvalues Yes.Rather than betting on it, I'm more interested in the market and seeing public perception and where the money is at. It's fairly liquid too, like $8m. That's reasonable information. Its not that exciting a market to bet on. For the no side you're locking up mone
Right, and if we completely removed liquidity issues and fees, it would still be idiotic to buy No at 98% that the earth is flat because you could double your money earning interest at 4% while insured.
It would also be silly to take the other side because SPY returns on average 10% so even if you took a Delorean into the future and saw Trumps face, you'd break even in equity by just throwing it into the market and rolling the dice there - again, insured and without fees.
Also, it's very likely that the floor would fall from under the market, at least temporarily, if Trump keeled over and you could potentially be better off buying a 6 month 600 SPY put or a DJT put a than making that polymarket bet.
...also, it would be insider trading galore if Trump was sick and those guys aren't going to capitalize on it using Polymarket.
Trump Bought Boeing Stock, Then Announced New Order for 200 Planes
Trade Size
Number of Transactions
$1 million to $5 million
36
$500,000 to $1 million
45
One of those $1 million-to-$5 million purchases was Boeing stock. Another was GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), which is notable because GE supplies engines for Boeing aircraft.
That connection matters more now because Trump announced during his China trip that Beijing would purchase 200 Boeing planes, with the possibility of expanding the agreement to as many as 750 aircraft over time. It marks the first major sale to China in nearly a decade.