2024 Fantasy Football Thread

If you guys draft in the milly on DK by midnight you get 10 DK dollars .

Thanks for posting. I hadn’t seen that.

3 straight Dak/dart teams in the SF

Had to join some slows to make sure I met my quota of 100. Gross.

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Looks like heaven to me. Keeping pace with the Puppy 2 has been brutal lol.

Also, free $3 ticket on DK. Don’t have to do anything but claim it. DK going to let me to freeroll the Play Action. I’ve earned 8 tickets so far and will be up to 11 after the 5 DFS challenge.

Jailbreak! Lol. Good news, the knee looks fine. What a video.

Interesting Shough fall

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151 post draft in, pretty happy with these exposures so far. Expecting most of these to fall as adps adjust/correct

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Some of those RBs scare me, but I mostly like everything else. You’re way more in on Minn RBs than me. I’m attacking Kyler the most of that team, as I think he can pay off the easiest. Though, and no one really talks about this, I think Kyler has some legit bench risk. He might just not be very good, and they go back to JJM at the end of the year in another lost season to see if it’s any better or if they need to completely start over, including possibly firing KOC.

You’ll be proud Jimmy. I’ve taken a little Jakobi lately haha. Just got him at 107. And tapped Jakobi and Trevor at the 8/9 turn on another team. He’s gradually falling to a better range.

I think that’s fair re: Kyler, it’s higher than most of the ppl in that range, but it’s definitely lower bench risk than someone like Geno/Brissett. Agreed though if they suck it’s live. My gut feeling is that they’ll be competitive enough that KOC will stick with Kyler

Yeah, agreed. Way lower than Geno/Brissett types. I think the base case is that Kyler is the starter all year and they're in playoff contention. Plenty of ways it can go wrong though haha. But also another reason why I'm betting on Kyler the most, since if the offense is good, then he's surely scoring well.

I drafted JJM a decent clip in SF due to the Kyler bench risk. Can’t do it in regular BB

I drafted JJM some in pre-draft and a little in SF. My concern with drafting him now in SF is that Wentz is back. Just seems like a really thin bet, but part of the thesis of Kyler failing is that JJM is starting at the end of the year, so I can squint and see the path. Definitely not taking JJM or Wentz in 1QB, though. If Kyler gets injured and they're still competing, I do expect it to be Wentz.

I'd rather fire those uncertain bets at the Atl or Clev guys at low clips in 1QB.

Get on it fast

Pat and Shaidy built some different top guy Tuesday teams.

DK Milly:

BBM:

These sims are very interesting. I can see the reasoning behind most of it, but I think I prefer more stacking and slightly different balance.

Damn, gone haha.

The guys in the ETR discord have been shitting on the sidekick always going 4 early RBs as a strategy. I think they (both sides, but mostly the discord bros) are overconfident in what the “right” approach is

I like doing these types of builds at times and I also like doing more traditional style builds. Think it’s important to be pretty flexible based on the board

I learned the hard way (getting smoked) that being too dogmatic about structure/approach is bad

Agreed, every year is different and anything can win. Both sides are definitely overconfident, and I'm not surprised the ETR discord is clowing lol. I also like to build a bunch of different ways, because who the **** knows?

I actually agree with the 4 RB builds the sim has been building, even the not so early, especially after hearing Kerrane explain it a few times. And with what's available at RB in the second half of the draft, particularly at the end.

I think my main concern with these two builds is at WR, especially with none of them stacked with a QB.

That 4th TE with Tonges feels kind of bad too, but the theory there is that Tonges simply projects better in the sim than anyone else available at that point. It's the end of the 20th lol, so I get it. At least he's w17 with Lemon. Sims definitely prioritze simmed projected points above all.

And I know Shaidy has mentioned how the sims are built to account for everything, including the insane w17 payoff you need. But I think some of these teams are building more difficult paths to that ultimate payoff.

Though, with the way WR is going itl, who really knows? The WR point threshold needed to win w17 may simply be the lowest of the 4 positions with the current league meta. Granted, probably still more relevant than what you'll likely need at TE. Any WR can spike randomly, and that doesn't necessarily mean the QB is spiking enough to matter.

I do agree with the sims on how heavy they prioritze QB. It's the highest scoring position, with the smallest available player pool, so it makes sense. But I'd still like it to be more stacked. I'm going to side with how much Herzig continues to find stacking important, as he still hammers that point anytime I see him stream.

Who needs the sidekick when you can just emulate it haha

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Watch demo on YouTube, save $500. Too much stacking, though. Haha

Looks good to me.

It wouldn’t surprise me to see hyper fragile builds do well. The late WRs are really strong.

I really like when I start 0-3-3-0.

Watching the Herzig/Daigle stream from yesterday, and there has been a lot of convo about the Eagles. Daigle starts out by saying Saquon should be going where CMC is. Now they're discussing Goedert and how bullish the AJB trade is for Goedert, the Mannion hire, etc. And I don't disagree on being bullish on the Eagles, especially with the OC change.

However, aren't you worried that they have to play both Sea and Hou in the playoffs? I really like the w17 matchup against SF, and I'm drafting Eagles. But those matchups are keeping me from being extra bullish. Not to mention, both are short weeks. They play Sun 12/13 against the Colts to end the fantasy regular season. Then Sat 12/19 against Sea and Thurs 12/24 against Hou. At least all 3 games are home but doesn't seem great.

I still haven't decided if the AJB trade is good or bad for the offense. Probably bad overall because of AJB's caliber, but at least they won't have to worry about appeasing him anymore. That situation seemed so sour by the end of last season. We'll see what Lemon, Wicks, and Stowers can do.

I think the AJB trade is bad for the offense in a like for like scenario, but the OC was so bad last year I think we can hope that the offense is still much better even w/o AJB

Maybe that’s fps though