2025 Formula 1 Season

Rip, that explains all that LICO T the end

Translation?

390 - Lando
366 - Oscar, Max

Max was 104 points behind a few races ago.

Path to Max winning:
- wins max. 58 pts = 424 pts
- Lando 5th (sprint), 3rd, 3rd = 424 pts
- Max wins title on count back by 1 win

Truly insane haha

Sportsbooks have it basically as

Lando - 75%
Max - 25%
Oscar - dead

Even without this development, I was giving Oscar zero chance of finishing 2nd in the title race. This confirms that. He could finish the last 8 races without a podium.

So Lando needs 35 points
- 8, 12, 15
- 5, 15, 15
- 0, 18, 18

LICO is 'lift and coast' which is what they do when breaks overheat or need to save fuel ... this time plank.

Don't see the 25% at all. The path is basically outperforming Lando in one race and hoping for a DNF in the other one.

Where can I bet Lando at 1/3?

Imo the double DQ doesn't swing a ton of equity

Lando is -310 on DK

Lando should still ship this easily.

The time to screw up is over though. A Lando DNF in Qatar would be glorious for the final race.

You end up with contrived nonsense like DRS to try and make things more exciting. The sport tends to be dull.

Aston Martin should sign him and Ferrari should sign Piastri - this should be done immediately.

Thanks. You have been my source for this as I did not know. The ****ing luck firstly for Max but also Lando that this was both him and Oscar. I was seriously hoping it was just Lando

Not sure what the odds are but Max obv a long shot, unless Oscar can take out Lando in Qatar!

Anyone work out whether strategically it was better for McLaren to do this to ensure Lando wins over Oscar or just too risky with Max being still close? For example if there was something in Oscar's contract if he falls 2nd joint or 3rd behind Lando he is obligated to work as Lando's reargunner even if team orders may dictate it just to ensure he doesn't risk his contract being torn up. Idk I just think back to the Schumi days where he deliberately took out drivers coming 2nd so mathematically they couldn't catch him

Essentially 0% considering how close Max is.

If Max was mathematically out of contention already, then a tiny possibility that the team would eff around to ensure the "desired outcome" happens. I mean, I'm sure the long-timers at McLaren want to see Lando win a championship before Oscar, since Lando's been through thick and thin with the team for many years now, and Oscar is a bit of a Johnny-come-lately.

Maybe just in case of some racing incident shenanigans that Oscar may pull even to help Max if they realise that Oscar will be gone at the end of next year

Why would Oscar leave? Or why would they want him to leave?

Only to Ferrari or maybe Red Bull if Max leaves - for the prestige and to be treated as an equal or for Red Bull perhaps no 1 status

Newey takung over as Aston Martin team principle next season.
Sounds like he's being spread too thin.

A potential to earn £30m a year sounds nice though.
For context, that's almost double Wayne Rooney's best contract at Man Utd.

Did not see that one coming

well he’s more than double the age Rooney was when he left Man U too…so maybe it’s fair?

I'd say clearing the path for Horner more than anything

An inquiry in a Dutch newspaper with 132k votes sees Max win the WDC 61%, Lando 38%, Oscar 1%

Orange colored glasses

Its more something like Lando 90%, Max 6%, Oscar 4% imo

I would laugh pretty hard if McLaren don't win this with the points advantage they had