2024 Fantasy Football Thread

My how things have changed...

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Deebo is a player I just want to sign somewhere so he becomes expensive enough not to take. At this price though he just unfortunately does provide value in a lot of builds

It’s a not very fun click though for sure

I had a lot of Keenan in the big board unfortunately but 0 post

Keenan was a great pick last year early in the draft season because he was basically free. It was obvious he would sign with someone and the Chargers made a lot of sense. He was especially valuable on BB teams that needed early season production from their WR corps. He provided great clv value.

Deebo is going much earlier than Keenan was last year. I don’t know how far he can be steamed up if he signs. I’ve heard rumors the Rams are interested. He’s probably a fine pick right now but I won’t be all over him like I was Keenan. Once he does move up I’ll be completely out mostly because I like a lot of the WR’s where he will end up.

Jerry Jeudy is my Keenan this year. He is extremely talented and has shown he can put up big numbers. It seems likely he will be traded. He would be steamed hard if this happened before the season started. It may not be until the deadline. He doesn’t have the end of season old man breakdown risk Keenan and Deebo have. If he stayed with the team he may provide value early in the season while the rookies get on boarded. I don’t know why they wouldn’t trade him but who knows. I Bond is looking good. Tillman is solid.

Deebo is free too lol. Keenan was going in round 16 before being signed. Deebo is in round 14. So no, it’s not much earlier. Both of those rounds are worth about $1 in auction value and there will be tons of zeros throughout.

Keenan then steamed to the 11/12 turn, I think maybe even peak steaming higher than that. I remember some 9th and 10th round Keenan picks.

If Deebo lands in somewhere like Washington, he will move up to the top 120, maybe top 100 by the start of the season.

As far as Jeudy, if he gets traded, then it may work out. As it stands now, I don’t expect him to have a big season, but he could still have a few useful spike weeks. I mix him in on certain teams. But his best career stretch came on massive volume from Jameis. He’s not some hidden talent, and even if he is traded, I’m not sure how much he pays off. I’d have to see landing spot.

I got most of my Keenan shares in round 18 last year. That’s free. There was a lot of room for him to significantly move up which he did.

RNG'd the last 8 picks

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If John Brooks and BTJ have great years this team will be really good.

JSN seems to be the most obvious regression candidate from the first round. He’s a legit talent but was unsustainably efficient last year. In comparison to other first round WR’s his situation is by far the worst. Worst QB. Worst offensive system. Last year Tory Horton was hurt for most of the season. Shaheed didn’t get there until November. I’d expect both to make an impact this year.

This is why I have ARSB ahead of him. You know what you are getting with him. With the departure of Montgomery I wouldn’t be shocked if he scores 15 TD’s this year. His numbers were similar to JSN’s except the yardage which I think will come way down.

I think JSN will be an early second round pick next year.

I prefer Gibbs to Bijan, but this has happened to me so often that I’m at like 4% Bijan. Debating if I need to start taking Bijan 1.01 occasionally to balance my exposures

Forgot the screenshot lmao

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I’d much prefer Gibbs to Bijan. I don’t love Falcon offense this year compared to the Lions.That being said, Bijan is phenomenal so he should still be picked no later than two. I would just be happy every time Gibbs falls to you. I wouldn’t worry about balance unless it gets later in draft season and you’re still low on Bijan. Even then I’d want a lot more Gibbs.

Also, there’s the possibility of a nuclear peak CMC type season from Gibbs that I don’t believe Bijan has in him this year.

Chihuahua maxed. 12% Rodgers? wtf happened to me?

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I see that I Likely is gonna be the fun new toy all the kids want this year.

It makes sense.

JSN is in almost the exact same situation as last year, minus the OC change. Guess who else has another new OC? ARSB.

Tory Horton is still not healthy. And even if he and Shaheed are more involved, neither are big target earners. Kupp is a year older after barely being a threat last season. The RB room is a question mark with guys who aren't big threats in the passing game. JSN is very live to have a 40% target share again. What if he scores 15+ TDs while maintaining his efficiency? JSN could have yet another level to his game given his trajectory.

You keep talking about Monty's departure and ARSB, but what if LaPorta gets those extra TDs? Monty only scored 8 TDs last year. Det didn't have one TE receiving TD after LaPorta got injured. TeSlaa is also going to catch some TDs.

I really like ARSB too, but he has way more target competition than JSN, especially from a TD scoring standpoint. Gibbs, Jamo, LaPorta, TeSlaa are all good at scoring TDs. Plus, as I mention below, the w17 outdoors game at Chi is a pretty big risk given Goff's history.

Yeah, I'd want it to be closer to even, especially with the volume you play. Whoever scores best in w15-17 will actually be the best pick, and that seems like a coin flip. Bijan has a great playoff schedule against defenses we don't expect to be that good. Gibbs's playoff schedule is good too, but his matchups are tougher, and outdoors in Chicago for w17 could go poorly for the entire Lions offense.

Gibbs 23 pts
Goff 25 pts

@CHI in 2024, W16

I like Bijan, but I still lean Gibbs as he's on a historically better offense.

Right now I'm 10% Gibbs and 9% Bijan, so it's close.

[QUOTE=tarheels2222;59352560]JSN is in almost the exact same situation as last year, minus the OC change. Guess who else has another new OC? ARSB.

Tory Horton is still not healthy. And even if he and Shaheed are more involved, neither are big target earners. Kupp is a year older after barely being a threat last season. The RB room is a question mark with guys who aren't big threats in the passing game. JSN is very live to have a 40% target share again. What if he scores 15+ TDs while maintaining his efficiency? JSN could have yet another level to his game given his trajectory.

You keep talking about Monty's departure and ARSB, but what if LaPorta gets those extra TDs? Monty only scored 8 TDs last year. Det didn't have one TE receiving TD after LaPorta got injured. TeSlaa is also going to catch some TDs.

I really like ARSB too, but he has way more target competition than JSN, especially from a TD scoring standpoint. Gibbs, Jamo, LaPorta, TeSlaa are all good at scoring TDs. Plus, as I mention below, the w17 outdoors game at Chi is a pretty big risk given Goff's history.

I disagree that JSN is in almost the same situation.

I’m not gonna argue with you on this other than to say I’ve seen this story before. A player has a monster season based on high efficiency and high volume. I think the yardage comes way down. I think the targets come down as well. This isn’t the Lions or Bengals offense. I’m more optimistic about what Rasheed and Horton will do this year.

I’ll still take JSN when he falls but overall I’m gonna trust my instincts this year.

Also, keep in mind I will be doing far less volume than you guy’s. Because of this I’ll be planting my flags more as well.

By that logic, you should be off of ARSB too. No way he keeps putting up these monster seasons on high efficiency and volume since he's done it before.

JSN could lose 400 yards of production from last season and still match ARSB from last year.

I have no qualms with planting flags, especially on lower draft volume. But you continue to post with faulty logic and instincts not based in data.

What happens if Seattle has to throw more? Darnold only had 477 attempts. Goff had 578. Burrow had 259 attempts over the 8 games he played, which would be a 550 attempt season pace.

If you told me JSN put up the first 2,000 yard receiving season, I would believe it. I do not see that in ARSB's ROOs.

Yeah, Goff can play outdoors if the weather isn't awful, which is the case of a lot of offenses. It's not the end all be all, but he's historically been way better indoors. They also played @Chi w18 last year, and the production on the Lions side was pretty solid. Not as much on the Bears side, as Loveland was the only one who scored well.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/4...

I still like Gibbs more than Bijan for the entire season. But if you asked me would I rather have the Lions @Chi or Atl home vs NO, I'll take the NO matchup.

We shall see.

RIP Josh and Hayden. I figured it’d happen sooner or later. UD has been clear on what they’re prioritizing.

Those 2 are the reason I started playing on UD in the first place. I’ll be interested to see where they land.

Just got him in the 5th in an Elim

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Oh my, fantasy is dead?

Fantasy world cup 2026 so interesting to play